Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 25, 2021

February 25, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr Fantasy 2.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Heymackit’sjack 1.80 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kikkerland 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Tapifly 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Giramonte 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Tuesday’s Child 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Princess Pinky 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Miss Peppina 1.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Did I Stutter 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bonus Baby 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Nicky Scissors 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 6 More Mango 30.00 6 11-1
4 4 Jasminesque 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Conformist 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Run Casper Run 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 4 Bustinmygroove 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Brooklyn Law 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Kentucky Cool 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Taino 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reunion Tour 5.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Patty O’Marc 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Loulovestheriver 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Doublepour 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 Wicked Easy 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Go Cash Go 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Production Credit 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Lem Me Have It 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Movie Score 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Miss Liana 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Persian Queen 10.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Suz 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Cover Photo 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 6 Blunt Force 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Dirty Bird 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Zecha 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Blu Grotto 2.00 1.6 3-1
8A 7 Chambo 1.40 2.1 4-1
3 3 Doctor Doom 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Epona Rising 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Tapit’s Flashback 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Kentucky Knight 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mr Ghost 20.00 6.8 13-1
6A 6 American Gentleman 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Steam Engine 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Dark Money 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Seven Lilies 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 South Africa 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Blindwillie McTell 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Double Shot 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Possetizzly 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Majestic Sky 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 In the Zone 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Beatthatflew 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Sophos 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Cape Cod Gem 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Litterbox 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Pollard’s Day 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Boo Who 10.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Vice King 15.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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