Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 23, 2021

February 23, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Firsttimevalentine 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 9 Grover Capote 10.00 8.7 16-1
7 6 One Smooth Katch 8.00 8.8 17-1
9 8 Donna’s Council 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Wildfire Storm 15.00 9.2 17-1
6 6 Crescent City Star 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Classy’s Fast Roy 3.00 9.9 19-1
11 11 Flashlightsecurity 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Unbridled Pulpit 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Grip Tight 10.00 10 19-1
1 1 Not Fade Away 15.00 10.3 19-1
8 7 Tin Delay 1.80 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Suckerforagrey 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Oretta 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 Condesa’s Handmaid 6.00 7 13-1
8 7 Nineoneoneprayer 5.00 7.1 13-1
9 8 Sing the Song 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 2 Grillin 2.00 7.4 14-1
5 4 She Wants Half 5.00 7.7 15-1
6 5 Cool Spring 8.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Racin Prayer 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Rockin Sunday 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Slide 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Storm Cat’s Cry 20.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Holy Song 20.00 8.5 16-1
2 2 St Maria 8.00 8.8 17-1
4 3 Bear Tooth Pass 1.80 8.8 17-1
9 8 Whiskey to Wine 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Red Rebel Star 30.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Old Time Girl 12.00 9.4 18-1
6 5 Cabeza de Tortuga 6.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Customs Bella Ella 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Limitless Mazie 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 La Jazz 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Itsnotmyjob 12.00 1.1 2-1
7 6 Afleet Moon 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Dueforadate 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 My Sister Annette 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 3 Dejoke’s Song 3.50 7 13-1
1 1 Aloha Betty 8.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Icy Charlie 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Wild Mallory 2.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Sunshine Deelite 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gold Punch 3.50 1.3 3-1
9 9 Full Power 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 M and M’s Custom 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Little Can 2.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Justa Buster 12.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Mas O Menos 20.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Toe Bandit 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Run Ethan Run 15.00 8.6 16-1
5 5 Sugarland Express 15.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Pioneer Pride 5.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Jackie Moon 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Typhoon Zing 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Be a Bandit 20.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Interatifwithleu 10.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Ashley Astray 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Linda’s Legacy 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Golden Paree 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Gabby’s Freedom 30.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Binalloverdrinken 3.50 7.3 14-1
6 6 Miss Invader 5.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Alys Episode 20.00 10 19-1
11 11 Cherokee Bless 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Little Fire 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Kellys the Boss 20.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Milana 1.40 1.7 3-1
6 6 Achancetowin 15.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Audacious Girl 12.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Left of the Dial 6.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 A Wish for Madelyn 10.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Romantic Beast 8.00 9.4 18-1
5 5 My Little Guera 8.00 9.4 18-1
4 4 Kleinmeister 4.50 9.7 18-1
11 11 Tiz Sassy 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Not Enough Bling 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Tensas Sunday 20.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 I’ll Raise You 20.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Outofthisgalaxy 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Forestdungone 15.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Gentrified 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Berko 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Gotta Go 2.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Tabia 3.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Halfmoon Reef 15.00 6.1 12-1
10 10 Lovethatcause 8.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Masterly 5.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Moonfield 3.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Honest Woman 8.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Temple Shadow 15.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Honest N Lucky 15.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Rock the Jukebox 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Mizz Tutu 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 6 Poopsie Doopsie 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Ruby Sioux 1.80 6.9 13-1
3 3 Tizzy’s Song 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nastida Mast 8.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Artist by the Sea 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Little Toe 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Perfect Parade 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Dutchman 20.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Quality Production 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mr. Graceful 10.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 So Sorry Ruston 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Victor Lounge (IRE) 5.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Actif One 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Weknewuweretrouble 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Apalachee Bay 4.50 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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