Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 21, 2021

February 21, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fat Stacks 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Holy Emperor 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Seven Charms 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Commanding Chief 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Mongolian Kingdom 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 My Indy 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Silent Musketier 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lulumaru 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Red Bunting (IRE) 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Paige Runner 1.60 3.3 6-1
2 2 Noble Contessa 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Tiz Wonderfully 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Miss Kitness 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Mongolian Window 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Clearly Gone 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Little Bird (IRE) 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Too Much Heaven 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 Quinnie 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Hurley 6.00 5 9-1
7 6 Cover Version 8.00 6 11-1
5 5 Lakerball 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Bolu 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Paisano 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Robin’s Legacy 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Short Rib 3.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Racing Ace 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Royal Orb 3.50 6.1 12-1
3 3 Hard Metal 6.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Broken Finger 15.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Fleet Roy 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Brochacho 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Naismith 5.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Eagle Chief 3.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Ambivalent 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Circumvent 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tivoli Twirl 4.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Epidemic 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Titrate 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Beyond Brilliant 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Perfecto Amor 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Stretch 3.50 2 4-1
4 4 Michalska 4.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Maddie’s Mojito 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Becca Taylor 1.80 4 7-1
2 2 Respectfully 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Swift Nonni 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jamming Eddy 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Commander (FR) 10.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Appreciated 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Via Egnatia 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Ian Glass 5.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Ronald R (IRE) 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Kitten’s Cat 6.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Policy 12.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Oiseau de Guerre 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Full of Luck (CHI) 15.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Spring Fever S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bella Vita 2.00 2 4-1
2 2 Hotitude 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Hollywood Hills 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Dr Wysong 10.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Cassie Belle 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Square Peggy 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 She’s a Dime 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Shes’a Perfectlady 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Fabiolla (GB) 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Katla 15.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Bristol Bayou 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 2 Lalic (FR) 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 La V. 6.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Bellize 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 New Drama 5.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Mangotango 50.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 I Give Up 10.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Irish Aura 0.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kiss and Run 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Predictable Tully (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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