February 21, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fat Stacks | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Emperor | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Seven Charms | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Commanding Chief | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Kingdom | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Indy | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Musketier | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lulumaru | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Bunting (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Paige Runner | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noble Contessa | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Wonderfully | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Kitness | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Window | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Clearly Gone | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Bird (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Much Heaven | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quinnie | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hurley | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cover Version | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lakerball | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bolu | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paisano | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Robin’s Legacy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Short Rib | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Racing Ace | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Orb | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hard Metal | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Broken Finger | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet Roy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brochacho | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Naismith | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eagle Chief | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ambivalent | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Circumvent | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tivoli Twirl | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epidemic | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Titrate | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Brilliant | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Perfecto Amor | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Stretch | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Michalska | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maddie’s Mojito | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Becca Taylor | 1.80 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Respectfully | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swift Nonni | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jamming Eddy | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander (FR) | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Appreciated | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Via Egnatia | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ian Glass | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ronald R (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kitten’s Cat | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Policy | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Oiseau de Guerre | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Spring Fever S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bella Vita | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hotitude | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Hills | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dr Wysong | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cassie Belle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Square Peggy | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Dime | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Shes’a Perfectlady | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fabiolla (GB) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katla | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bristol Bayou | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lalic (FR) | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La V. | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bellize | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | New Drama | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mangotango | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Give Up | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Aura | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kiss and Run | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.