Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 21, 2021

February 21, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dreammaster 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Hero of the Hour 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Trivista 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Ekaterinoslav 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Afleet Roger 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Humphrey 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 V Man 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Princesa Blanca 4.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Wave of Goodness 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Erin’s Enthusiasm 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Gauzy 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Vita 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Somthingscandalous 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Diamond Lily 10.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Gio’s Lil Angel 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Bet Your Bankroll 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Gilded Apple 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 6 Glitter Time 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Whodatwhodat 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Oma Lee 4.50 4 8-1
4 3 Arancia 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Honduras Girl 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 7 Sandy’s Wager 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Adina 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Madison’s Place 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Military Bearing 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Patriot’s War 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Smiling Silas 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Skip the Smalltalk 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Summer Tune 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Magna Ride 6.00 4 8-1
6 6 Fiat Lux 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Smoky Topaz 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Olympic Champion 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Mon Cherie 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 3 Sweet Confusion 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 5 Tiz a Queen 4.50 3.5 7-1
1A 7 Staceys Racey 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Bella’s Choice 4.50 4.6 9-1
6 4 J Z’s First 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Brest Fortress 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 5 Smackfire 3.00 SCRATCH
2B 9 Dare to Hope 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Spycraft 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 3 Uncapped 4.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Justinthenickotime 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Hawk of War 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Doodle Time 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Chantry Flats 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Talkin Malice 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Money Cometh 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chelsea Bridge 8.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Half Koo Koo 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Taylor Avenue 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Thetruthisthetruth 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Halfglamorous 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Clearly Sailing 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Cilla 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Enduring Peace 12.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Amoreena Star 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Yankee Seven 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Homebred 6.00 3.6 7-1
12 11 A Song for Arch 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 3 Picasso 5.00 4 8-1
5 4 Bad Beat Brian 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Takafumi (BRZ) 8.00 5 9-1
13 12 Merlin’s Song 6.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Land Mark Deal 6.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Dreaming of Carats 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Sir Truebadour 15.00 7.9 15-1
9 8 Can Imagine 20.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Little Kansas 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 About Our Time 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Loopallu 4.50 SCRATCH
8 7 Biarritz 20.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wholeshackshimmies 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 9 Langfuhr’s Angel 4.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Galaxy Star 5.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Puzzling Priority 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Custom Gulch 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Deezee Dial 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Song of Paradise 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Laurel’s Cricket 10.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Julia’s Chance 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Go My Juliet 20.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More