Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 19, 2021

February 19, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Du Jour 1.80 2 4-1
6 6 Man Friday 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Enough Nonsense 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Airman 4.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Warbird 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 El Joy 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Achilleus 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Ivory Sky 50.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Clockstrikestwelve 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Canadian Ginger 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Li’l Grazen 3.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Lady On Ice 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Madame Barbarian 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Time for Ebby 8.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Sadie Bluegrass 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Queen’s Code 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Jungle Boy 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Luvluv 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 In Vronsky Style 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 Kristel’s Rebel 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Starship Chewbacca 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Square Root 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Racetrackers 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 August Indy 50.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Little Rachel 1.60 1.3 2-1
3 3 McWherter 1.80 3.2 6-1
6 6 Moon Mischief 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Candy Fury 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Me Macho 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Prince Magician 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Amiko Chow (IRE) 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Lakaya 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Awesome Pamela 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Nicole Grace 30.00 4 8-1
6 6 Unbreakable 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Let’s Go Now 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Lemon Drop Tini 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Lookintogeteven 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Gotta Be Lucky 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Lady O’Prado 2.50 3.4 6-1
5 4 True Mischief 3.50 4.4 8-1
3 2 Info’s Treasure 8.00 5 9-1
7 6 Princess Tale 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Mongolian Sunrise 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Cowboys Daughter 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 I’m Leaving You 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Midnight Mystery 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Liar Liar (IRE) 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 6 Hoop Dream 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Holden the Lute 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Talking 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Witch’s Vow 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 American Dancer 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Invictatatus 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eel Point 1.60 1.8 3-1
4 4 Defense Wins 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Montana Moon 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 The Kohen 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Flat White 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Gov From Above 12.00 5 10-1
2 2 Super Classic 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rockie Causeway 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Slew South 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Starship Sky 6.00 2.9 5-1
10 10 I’ll Do It for You 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Vronsky Zips Away 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Phoenix Tears 15.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Humor Me Harper 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Rays Darlinkle 30.00 9 17-1
9 9 Aristeia 30.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Ultimate Hy 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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