Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 19, 2021

February 19, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lord Theo 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Duel Fuel 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Optimistic Valor 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 He Ain’t No Saint 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Bastien Le Brown 8.00 4 7-1
5 5 Double David 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Coltonstheadmiral 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Star Deputy 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Ascended 30.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Converter 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Awesome Beach 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Foster Hope 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Berhanu 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Jr Speed 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Top Boss 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Gege Conquest 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 High Tide 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Maker of an Empire 4.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Gunman 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Alonzo Mosely 2.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Mr Matuschek 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Fear the Deer 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Light Cruiser 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Nombre 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Water Wizard 4.50 2.5 5-1
8 8 Florado 1.20 2.6 5-1
2 2 Senorita Salsa 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Trinni Sunshine 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Trinni Girls 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Maricopa 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Businessindubai 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Shining Through 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Yadi 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Break Beat 1.20 3.2 6-1
4 4 Call Bros 4.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Dreamin of Seville 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Leading Factor 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Poppy’s Boys 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 El Solitario 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Ashleigh 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Mo Clare’s 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Low Pressure Zone 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Mackenzie’s Girl 5.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Goodbye Gaby 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Kiss Theory 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 What’s the Move 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Trish the Dish 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 4 Kitten’s Finest 4.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 She Fled the Scene 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Pearlescent 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Copper 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Strike Magic 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Divine Martha 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Liza Star 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Extra Effort 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bird Map 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 We Miss Susie 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Chutzpah 10.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Lady Archa 4.50 4 7-1
7 7 Victory Crusade 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Shacklette 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Song River 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Charlotte the Brit 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 La Cara Bonita 4.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Daddy’s Joy 1.40 3.2 6-1
2 2 Miss Miami 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Follow Me Mom 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 True Heiress 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Arch of Fire 30.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Young Flint 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 3 Happy Champ 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Quinto Sol 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 6 Thirsty’s Pride 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Unimpeached 15.00 5 10-1
6 4 True Identity 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Nevermindninetyone 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Forty Flash 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 El Tabernero One 30.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Hefesto 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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