February 19, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Lord Theo | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Duel Fuel | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | Optimistic Valor | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | He Ain’t No Saint | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
8 | 8 | Bastien Le Brown | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Double David | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Coltonstheadmiral | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
9 | 9 | Star Deputy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
6 | 6 | Ascended | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
10 | 10 | Converter | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Awesome Beach | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Foster Hope | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Berhanu | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Jr Speed | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Top Boss | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Gege Conquest | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | High Tide | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Maker of an Empire | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Gunman | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Alonzo Mosely | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Mr Matuschek | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Fear the Deer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
6 | 6 | Light Cruiser | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Nombre | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Water Wizard | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Florado | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Senorita Salsa | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Trinni Sunshine | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Trinni Girls | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Maricopa | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | Businessindubai | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Shining Through | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Yadi | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Break Beat | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Call Bros | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Dreamin of Seville | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Leading Factor | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Poppy’s Boys | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
6 | 6 | El Solitario | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | My Ashleigh | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
2 | 2 | Mo Clare’s | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Low Pressure Zone | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Mackenzie’s Girl | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Goodbye Gaby | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Kiss Theory | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | What’s the Move | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Trish the Dish | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
5 | 4 | Kitten’s Finest | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | She Fled the Scene | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Pearlescent | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Copper | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 2 | Strike Magic | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Divine Martha | 1.60 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Liza Star | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Extra Effort | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Bird Map | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | We Miss Susie | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Chutzpah | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lady Archa | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Victory Crusade | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
8 | 8 | Shacklette | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Song River | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Charlotte the Brit | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | La Cara Bonita | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Daddy’s Joy | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Miss Miami | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Follow Me Mom | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | True Heiress | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
7 | 7 | Arch of Fire | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 5 | Young Flint | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 3 | Happy Champ | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Quinto Sol | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
9 | 6 | Thirsty’s Pride | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | Unimpeached | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
6 | 4 | True Identity | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Nevermindninetyone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | Forty Flash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | El Tabernero One | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Hefesto | 10.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.