Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 17, 2021

February 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Cat Lady 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 4 A Looker 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Kiss Theory 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 2 Starry Hope 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 5 Blessing Memories 30.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Sandra’s Mine 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Suspicious Minds 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chardrenee 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Regal Passage 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jacohare 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Party of No 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Sadio 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Oxfire 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Nona Rac 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Parmenides 20.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 City Glory 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Jimbo 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Shaftesbury 1.00 1.9 4-1
4 3 First Task 5.00 2.9 6-1
3 2 Dream Keeper 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 Straight Up Guy 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Caxambas Candy 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Si Como No 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Welshman 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Grey Streak 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Barrel Proof 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Heavenly Blessing 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Communication Fail 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Peruvian Dancer 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 H P Big Hope 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 El Sicario 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Peluchin Chin 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Loyal Louie 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 4 American Matters 2.50 2 4-1
7 6 Dark Timber 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Unlonely 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Starship Mozart 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Midnight Tequila 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Mayor Remo 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 Military Drill 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dem a Wonder 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lifechangingevent 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 She’s Classy 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Time’s On My Side 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Miss Italy 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Between Dreams 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Pink Fizz 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Whyruawesome 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Long Blade 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 3 Miles Ahead 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Legal Deal 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 5 Mustang Cat 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Belgrano 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tenacity Zip 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tropicat 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Fully Loaded 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sovereign Warrior 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dugout 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dont Get Smart 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Sassy Justice 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Brookes All Mine 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Subsidiary 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Beast of Wildwood 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Bahamian Girl 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Socially Astray 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Gran Etiqueta 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chevelita 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Coworth Park 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Sweet Pearl 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sunny Isle Beach 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 5 Crystal Coast 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 6 Sexy Dream 15.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Gambling Cat 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 My Miss Miracle 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Yafa 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Silent Sparkle 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Viburnum 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 6 Hardly Social 2.50 3 6-1
16 7 I’m a Coco Pebbles 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 2 Sister Is Devil 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 One Night Stand 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 5 Saved At the Wire 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 4 Quid Pro Glow 20.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Bonheur 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Union Park Gal (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Not Tonight Bobby 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kate’s Kingdom 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Shine a Light 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sweet Felicia 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Talk Dirty 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Miss Moreno 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Backspark 8.00 SCRATCH
7 3 Isla Bonita 30.00 12.3 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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