Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 17, 2021

February 17, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Chatain’s Flyer 20.00 2 4-1
10 10 Shesthecatsmeow 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Queen Shasta 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Dignityto Infinity 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rose Runner 12.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Queen Bindala 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Jennifer’s Arch 1.80 6.3 12-1
6 6 Geaux Golden 10.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Lagniappe 10.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Matt’s Pride 3.50 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cajun Cash 8.00 1.8 3-1
1 3 That’s D ‘cat 1.80 1.9 4-1
4 4 High Ridge 5.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Meditate 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Dodger 2.50 4.8 9-1
1A 7 Classic Greeley 1.80 6.1 12-1
2 1 Tensas Toddy 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 8 Binding 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 In Coming J 15.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Zcat’s Chatain 12.00 2 4-1
3 3 Thirsty Kat 8.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Flash of Pepper 6.00 9.6 18-1
6 6 Subject to Call 10.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Zarb’s Pistol 20.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Carlos Punch 3.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 St Basil 20.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Elisher 2.00 9.8 18-1
12 12 Silky’s Dance 8.00 9.8 19-1
11 11 Tdz What a Dream 6.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Mr. E Edwards 8.00 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Money Sunk 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Prospect Crissi 15.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Arctic Guitar 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Golden Expresso 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Aim Spot 30.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dixie Loving 6.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Sunny Empire 4.50 6.5 12-1
8 8 Chicken Or the Egg 2.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Linda’s Legacy 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Color Fast 5.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Apache Unbridled 20.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bayou Beaux 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Marvins Gold 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Out Making Treble 15.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Big Cypress 4.00 7.6 14-1
5 5 Underdog 2.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Red Mamba 6.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Ramirin 20.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Here Comes Magic 10.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 My Little Adrian 20.00 2.4 5-1
12 12 Egomaniac 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Poppi Is Smiling 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Charming Bullet 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 10 Mayan Ghost 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Little Wise Guy 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Midnight Revolt 2.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Big Boss Man 30.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Flamin Fire 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Favorite Son 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Whatafind 20.00 9.6 18-1
2 2 Centsmybabyleftme 3.00 9.9 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nana’s Joy 1.60 1.2 2-1
4 4 Grace of David 12.00 1.3 3-1
8 8 Amelia Madelyn 10.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Mostly Awesome 20.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Fianna Hills 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Charzee Baby 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Miss Ocean Express 3.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Lil Allie Dancer 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Shallow River 4.50 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ebrio 5.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Chaosmos 10.00 1.7 3-1
7 8 Donwell 20.00 2.1 4-1
8 9 Jack Be Quick 15.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Mistake Present 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Zing Zang 8.00 3 6-1
9 10 Southpine Gift 20.00 3.5 7-1
6 7 Temprano 6.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 December Seven 1.80 5.5 10-1
1A 6 Smooth Colliery 3.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cool Individual 20.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Clever Racer 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Port Hunter 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Man Behind the Bar 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Carrier Pigeon 1.80 5.5 10-1
12 12 Silent Force 10.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Zens Secret 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Flash Dancerluck 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 End Zone 6.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Blazin’ Asian 4.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Talkothtown 15.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Hoodoo Brown 4.50 9.7 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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