February 17, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chatain’s Flyer | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shesthecatsmeow | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Shasta | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dignityto Infinity | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Runner | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Bindala | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jennifer’s Arch | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Geaux Golden | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lagniappe | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matt’s Pride | 3.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Cash | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 3 | That’s D ‘cat | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | High Ridge | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Meditate | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dodger | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Classic Greeley | 1.80 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Tensas Toddy | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Binding | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | In Coming J | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zcat’s Chatain | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Kat | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flash of Pepper | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Subject to Call | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zarb’s Pistol | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Carlos Punch | 3.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | St Basil | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elisher | 2.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Silky’s Dance | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Tdz What a Dream | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. E Edwards | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Money Sunk | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prospect Crissi | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arctic Guitar | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Expresso | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aim Spot | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Loving | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sunny Empire | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chicken Or the Egg | 2.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Linda’s Legacy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Color Fast | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apache Unbridled | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Beaux | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Marvins Gold | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Out Making Treble | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Big Cypress | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Underdog | 2.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Mamba | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ramirin | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Magic | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | My Little Adrian | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Egomaniac | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poppi Is Smiling | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charming Bullet | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mayan Ghost | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Wise Guy | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Midnight Revolt | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Boss Man | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flamin Fire | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Favorite Son | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whatafind | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Centsmybabyleftme | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nana’s Joy | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grace of David | 12.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amelia Madelyn | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mostly Awesome | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fianna Hills | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charzee Baby | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ocean Express | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lil Allie Dancer | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shallow River | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ebrio | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaosmos | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Donwell | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Jack Be Quick | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mistake Present | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zing Zang | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Southpine Gift | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Temprano | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | December Seven | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Smooth Colliery | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cool Individual | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clever Racer | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Port Hunter | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Man Behind the Bar | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carrier Pigeon | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Silent Force | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Zens Secret | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Dancerluck | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | End Zone | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Blazin’ Asian | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Talkothtown | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoodoo Brown | 4.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.