Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 16, 2021

February 16, 2021 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Miraculousblessing 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Our Dixie Blue 2.50 3.6 7-1
8 6 One Tough Rose 3.50 5 9-1
5 4 Hey Dewzpots 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Paloma Gris 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 3 Big Brown Eyes 20.00 6.6 13-1
3 2 Danzing the Polka 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Clever Start 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tudox Rue Majestic 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Starinthemaking 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Shalako 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sight Line 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Printer 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Miami Tiger 4.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Kid Mac Cool 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 American Roma 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Borsa Vento 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Eden Ridge 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Borderline Genius 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 2 Lucky Imagination 4.00 2.9 5-1
1A 4 This Round’s Mine 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Castilleja 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Light Up Night 5.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Three Potatoe Four 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Misquillo 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Mustn’t Grumble 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Kevins Chioce 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Call Fitzroy 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Gray Little Meadow 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 4 Inspired Options 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 6 Shiloh Lane 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 7 Sunshine Crusader 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 5 Our Uncle Drew 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Star Luck 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Lt. Columbo 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Slam Bang 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Mia Bella Rossa 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 4 Squan’s Kingdom 3.50 3 6-1
7 5 Ski Bunny 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 3 I’m Not Joking 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 2 Atina Salsa 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 6 Slingin Sammy B 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 5 Lolanita 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 7 Oceano Rosso 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Annika Gold 4.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Unbridledadventure 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Touch of Nirvana 3.50 3 6-1
1A 9 I’am a Unicorn 4.50 4 8-1
7 7 Juliet’s Music 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Connoisseur 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 2 Jaffle 3.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Come and Get It 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 4 Lady Mistress 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Best Secrets Kept 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 1 Light of Hope 20.00 8 15-1
11 11 Our Claire Bear 20.00 8.2 16-1
9 8 Dona Camile 20.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Stay Salty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Jammin Jimtown 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Psychic Energy 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Bobcat 4.00 4.8 9-1
1A 9 Cape May Ferry 4.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Return of a Giant 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Saratoga Wildcat 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Huya 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Smart Royal T 20.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 The Pooch 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Hey Jabber Jaw 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Brio Man 20.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Jacks a Warrior 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Doddsprivatelabel 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Jupi’s Lightning 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 E J’s Revenge 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 Mass Appeal 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Kristi’s Copilot 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 8 County Corrections 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Loan Me Your Ear 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Here Wego 12.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Bolita Boyz 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Won the Case 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Incite 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Strawberry Red 6.00 2.9 5-1
1A 8 Tomasco 8.00 3 6-1
9 7 Danzafied 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Brees Bayou 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 G Daddy 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Stonegate 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Perfect Daydream 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Splitzville 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Gadago 20.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Arrecife 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Flat Out Beautiful 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 4 Mr Thrifty 4.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Tivano 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Confessor 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Irish Cork 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Optic Way 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Forest Fire 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Broad Street Bully 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Ruby Bleu 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Wise Jude 20.00 7.4 14-1
1A 7 Splicethemainbrace 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 7 Kit Kat Katie 3.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Smokin Princess 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Frisky Feeling 10.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Congaree Rose 8.00 5.3 10-1
1A 12 Angel Raphael 4.00 6.1 11-1
5 3 Paolla’s Heart 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 1 Spectacular Now 10.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Wings of Fury 8.00 7.2 14-1
4 2 Savannah’s Dream 20.00 9 17-1
1 3 Valiant Spirit 4.00 SCRATCH
2X 16 River Sonata 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Free Coffee 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Enough Love 6.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Supergirl Power 20.00 10.9 21-1
6 4 Snow Blossom 20.00 10.9 21-1
7 5 Iza One 20.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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