Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 16, 2021

February 16, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Wicked Star 6.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Stealing Apriority 12.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Midnight Nightmare 10.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Bg’s Cajun Popcorn 20.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Justa Swinging 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Wayne’s Hope 6.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Downie’s Hip 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Mean Cruiser 4.00 8 15-1
3 3 El Ward 8.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Wicked Fitz 2.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bodemeister Wind 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Mail Man Johnny 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Tiz the Dude 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Reads Landing 6.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Lode of Blarney 3.50 6.2 12-1
7 7 Hot Le Roy 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Cherkas Bendyl 4.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Dried Pepper 2.50 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bridled Up 8.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Katie’s Cruise 15.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Visionofwildtimes 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Paisley Cross 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Sophie’s Prayer 15.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Akiane’s Soldier 20.00 2 4-1
10 10 Here Comes Lovie 20.00 2 4-1
3 3 Harriet’s Dream 3.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Sho Nuff 4.00 8 15-1
2 2 Maggie’s Return 2.50 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Khalid 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Prince Loki 1.80 6.2 12-1
7 7 Carries Man 6.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Mr Leo 3.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Mr True 10.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Saving Argument 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Irish Expectations 6.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Valiant Defender 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unfathomed 20.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Pleasant Vision 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Relax Town 4.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Custom Pancho 8.00 8 15-1
8 8 Wheels Turning 8.00 8 15-1
3 3 Callthewolfe 1.80 8 15-1
2 2 Aligned Interest 12.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Courageous Is Back 4.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Kasens Train 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Gotiger Special 10.00 8.7 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 American Mom 10.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 This Is My Prayer 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Onetwomanyrockets 15.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Da Due Run Run 12.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Hoyam 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Seven Jewels 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Hurricane Tizway 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Champagne Affair 1.60 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 G G Has a Shot 20.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Runpeggyrun 1.80 2.1 4-1
3 3 Interatifwithleu 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Miss Manassas 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Our Amen 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Song for Heddings 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Charlie Roads 3.50 6 11-1
1 1 Miss Invader 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Sophisticated Girl 4.50 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 My Little Fire 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Bigjim’s Silvergal 15.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Suspect the Worst 15.00 3.3 6-1
1 6 I’m All Mixed Up 4.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 She’s the Boss 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Jerry’s Legacy 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Areyouinaband 2.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Fiery Flash 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 1 Viking Voyage 8.00 6.7 13-1
3 2 Eurobouttogetit 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Raising the Roof 8.00 7.9 15-1
1A 12 Mallory’s Home 4.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nastida Mast 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Artist by the Sea 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Perfect Parade 10.00 3 6-1
1 1 Little Toe 15.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Dutchman 20.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mr. Graceful 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Quality Production 5.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 So Sorry Ruston 30.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Victor Lounge (IRE) 4.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Apalachee Bay 8.00 8.5 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More