February 16, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Star | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stealing Apriority | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Nightmare | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bg’s Cajun Popcorn | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Justa Swinging | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wayne’s Hope | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Downie’s Hip | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mean Cruiser | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Ward | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Fitz | 2.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bodemeister Wind | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mail Man Johnny | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Dude | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reads Landing | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lode of Blarney | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Le Roy | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cherkas Bendyl | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dried Pepper | 2.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bridled Up | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Katie’s Cruise | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Visionofwildtimes | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Paisley Cross | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie’s Prayer | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Akiane’s Soldier | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Here Comes Lovie | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harriet’s Dream | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sho Nuff | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maggie’s Return | 2.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Khalid | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prince Loki | 1.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carries Man | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Leo | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr True | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saving Argument | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Irish Expectations | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valiant Defender | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unfathomed | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasant Vision | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Relax Town | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Custom Pancho | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wheels Turning | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Callthewolfe | 1.80 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aligned Interest | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Courageous Is Back | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kasens Train | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gotiger Special | 10.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | American Mom | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | This Is My Prayer | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onetwomanyrockets | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Da Due Run Run | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoyam | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Jewels | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Tizway | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Affair | 1.60 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | G G Has a Shot | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Runpeggyrun | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Interatifwithleu | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Manassas | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Our Amen | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Song for Heddings | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charlie Roads | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Invader | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sophisticated Girl | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | My Little Fire | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Bigjim’s Silvergal | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Suspect the Worst | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 6 | I’m All Mixed Up | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | She’s the Boss | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jerry’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Areyouinaband | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fiery Flash | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Viking Voyage | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Eurobouttogetit | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raising the Roof | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1A | 12 | Mallory’s Home | 4.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nastida Mast | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artist by the Sea | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Parade | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Toe | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dutchman | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Graceful | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Quality Production | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | So Sorry Ruston | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victor Lounge (IRE) | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apalachee Bay | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.