Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 15, 2021

February 15, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Count the Shells 5.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Stretch the Truth 1.60 2.7 5-1
1 1 Passage of Lines 2.50 4.2 8-1
4 4 San Antone 3.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Cohodes 6.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Chelichna 20.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Grand Entrada 15.00 2 4-1
4 4 English Charmer 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 La Smarty 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Moonlight Miss 1.60 5.4 10-1
3 3 Scarlet’s Song 1.40 6.1 11-1
7 7 Do I Ever 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nobody Knew 0.50 1.3 3-1
3 3 Wicked Finn 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Pirate’s Palace 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Da Chrome 10.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Twitty City 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Jack Gave Back 6.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lucian 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Unbridled Parrott 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Zaga 15.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Gosh 3.00 1.5 3-1
8 8 Graywing 2.50 3.6 7-1
3A 3 Artillery 5.00 4.2 8-1
7A 7 Magic of Love 5.00 5 9-1
1 1 Prince Amadeus 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hetty G. 4.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 The Circle Game 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 I’m So Munny 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Nightmare 20.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Joyful Noise 15.00 2 4-1
3 3 R True Sensation 20.00 2 4-1
6 6 Dat Dares Gold 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Ballerina Kitten 50.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Swirrlie Shirlie 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 She’s All Courage 10.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Fearless Lassie 3.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Long Distance Love 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Song of Honor 4.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Rockinhippiechick 8.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Sheriff’s Kid 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Nicolar 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nine Martinis 4.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Judi Blue Eyes 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Combat Queen 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Friend Me Charlie 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Always Talking 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Naughty Thoughts 15.00 2 4-1
5 5 Nightlife 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tybalt 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Stroll Smokin 2.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 Fortunate Friends 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Nomo Ron 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Always Sunshine 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Belle Tapisserie 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Commanding General 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Tyreek 12.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Garrison’s Charge 1.40 1.2 2-1
3 3 Tommy the Torch 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Smite 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 More Twirl 3.50 1.6 3-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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