February 15, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Count the Shells | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stretch the Truth | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Passage of Lines | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | San Antone | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cohodes | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Chelichna | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Entrada | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | English Charmer | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Smarty | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Moonlight Miss | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scarlet’s Song | 1.40 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Do I Ever | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nobody Knew | 0.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Finn | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pirate’s Palace | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Da Chrome | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twitty City | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jack Gave Back | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucian | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridled Parrott | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zaga | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gosh | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Graywing | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Artillery | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Magic of Love | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince Amadeus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hetty G. | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Circle Game | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m So Munny | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nightmare | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Joyful Noise | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R True Sensation | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dat Dares Gold | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballerina Kitten | 50.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | She’s All Courage | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fearless Lassie | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Long Distance Love | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Song of Honor | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rockinhippiechick | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff’s Kid | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nicolar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nine Martinis | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judi Blue Eyes | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Combat Queen | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Friend Me Charlie | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Always Talking | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Naughty Thoughts | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nightlife | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tybalt | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stroll Smokin | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortunate Friends | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nomo Ron | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Always Sunshine | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belle Tapisserie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Commanding General | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tyreek | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Garrison’s Charge | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy the Torch | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smite | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | More Twirl | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.