Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 15, 2021

February 15, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Honor and Respect 6.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Beautiful Ending 8.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Emeraldwaters 10.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Splendor Hour 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Pac for Hawaii 3.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Bad Gal Riri 4.50 6 11-1
1 1 Birdcatmouse 1.60 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lions Hot Mess 12.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 War Song 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Katama Bay 5.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Shar’s Treasure 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Inlike Flen 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Secret Redemption 1.60 4.5 8-1
7 7 Ouachita 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Full Power 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 6 Gold Punch 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 3 Oscar Choice 20.00 1.9 4-1
1 7 Mas O Menos 3.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Toe Bandit 5.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Jackie Moon 5.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Sugarland Express 15.00 9.7 18-1
1A 12 Joe Diver 3.50 9.8 19-1
2 1 Run Ethan Run 15.00 9.9 19-1
3 2 Pioneer Pride 8.00 9.9 19-1
8 8 Jays Riverwrangler 8.00 10 19-1
5 4 Gimmeasound 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Song N a Cat 1.80 1.5 3-1
8 8 Kye’s Addycat 20.00 2 4-1
6 6 Guilty Again 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 D’tuff Cat Rey 20.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Reece’s Priority 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Independent Worker 5.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Christopher Cat 4.50 5.8 11-1
2 2 Lion Heart Legend 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kellys the Boss 20.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Milana 1.20 1.6 3-1
8 8 Downeaster Alexa 20.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Fashion Merit 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 A Wish for Madelyn 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Louisiana’s Hope 5.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 My Little Guera 10.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Myla Rubi 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Left of the Dial 3.50 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hopeitsamiracle 10.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Miss Billie K 4.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Mitch’s Pins 20.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Harper Bee 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Weneedtotalk 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Laneys Love 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Kaydees in Town 15.00 3 6-1
7 7 Runfastandloud 1.80 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Suckerforagrey 10.00 2.1 4-1
1 3 Itsnotmyjob 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 7 Condesa’s Handmaid 3.50 5.2 10-1
4 4 Nineoneoneprayer 5.00 5.4 10-1
1A 5 Grillin 4.50 5.6 10-1
2 1 Sing the Song 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 She Wants Half 1.80 6 11-1
7 8 Cool Spring 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moonfield 15.00 0.7 1-1
1 1 Honest Woman 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Miss Katniss 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Honest N Lucky 20.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Rock the Jukebox 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mizz Tutu 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Poopsie Doopsie 3.50 6.1 11-1
6 6 Ruby Sioux 1.60 7 13-1
8 8 Tizzy’s Song 6.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 La La Latte 15.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Pricey 15.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Summertime Bandit 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Landwoman’s Gift 20.00 2.1 4-1
12 12 Valid Break 8.00 9.1 17-1
3 3 Here Comes Linda 4.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Quick Heat 8.00 9.6 18-1
5 5 Brooklyn’s Grip 12.00 9.6 18-1
11 11 Lawsuit Lucy 6.00 9.8 19-1
2 2 Executive Council 8.00 9.8 19-1
9 9 Camp Halo 1.80 10.1 19-1
10 10 Crapaud 12.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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