February 15, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honor and Respect | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Ending | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emeraldwaters | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Splendor Hour | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pac for Hawaii | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Gal Riri | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Birdcatmouse | 1.60 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lions Hot Mess | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | War Song | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Katama Bay | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shar’s Treasure | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Inlike Flen | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Redemption | 1.60 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ouachita | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Full Power | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Gold Punch | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Oscar Choice | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 7 | Mas O Menos | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Toe Bandit | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jackie Moon | 5.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sugarland Express | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1A | 12 | Joe Diver | 3.50 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Run Ethan Run | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Pioneer Pride | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jays Riverwrangler | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Gimmeasound | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Song N a Cat | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kye’s Addycat | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Guilty Again | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Reece’s Priority | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Independent Worker | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Christopher Cat | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lion Heart Legend | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kellys the Boss | 20.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Milana | 1.20 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Downeaster Alexa | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Merit | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Wish for Madelyn | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana’s Hope | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Guera | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myla Rubi | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Left of the Dial | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hopeitsamiracle | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Billie K | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mitch’s Pins | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harper Bee | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Weneedtotalk | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laneys Love | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaydees in Town | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Runfastandloud | 1.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Suckerforagrey | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Itsnotmyjob | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nineoneoneprayer | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Grillin | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Sing the Song | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | She Wants Half | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Cool Spring | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonfield | 15.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honest Woman | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Katniss | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honest N Lucky | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rock the Jukebox | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mizz Tutu | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Poopsie Doopsie | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruby Sioux | 1.60 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizzy’s Song | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La La Latte | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pricey | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Summertime Bandit | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Landwoman’s Gift | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Valid Break | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Linda | 4.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quick Heat | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn’s Grip | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lawsuit Lucy | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Council | 8.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Camp Halo | 1.80 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crapaud | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.