Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 14, 2021

February 14, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 12 Forever Boss 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Piccadilly Line 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 A Thing of Beauty 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Tracy Flick 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 The Flying Pharoah 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Baffle ‘Em 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Champagne Ivy 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Solo Uno 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Perhaps Tonight (IRE) 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Charges Dropped 20.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Causeway Princess 20.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Unshakable U 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dreaming of Audrey 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mia At Midnight 30.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Emunah 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 4 Party Swagger 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 2 Sweet Baby Raelynn 5.00 3 6-1
2 1 Lucky Us 8.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Air Cavalry 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 T. Waltz 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Monte Ne 2.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Khozy My Boy 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Hardredcandy 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Weekend Dreamer 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Nashtrick 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Scotty Brown 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Kobe Fifty Two 15.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brody’s Honor 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Baby Lion 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Kerik 5.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Bella Gabriella 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Mellow Gold 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Holy Secret 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Personal Reward 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dancing Empress 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Lontano 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 6 Station Rock 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Henry’s World 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Macho Blue 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 Bodie Cody 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 5 Tale of Kantharos 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Ahead of Plan 2.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Man of Vision 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bold Agenda 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Winter Pool 2.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Growl Tiger 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bay Street Money 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 No More Business 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ghostlore 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Derby Date 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Enano Astray 6.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 I Kickn 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 5 Rack Gin 4.00 2.6 5-1
4 3 Yes for Less 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Deo Forte 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 4 Capitan Fofo 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Auburn 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sir Aggravator 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Come Storming 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Kelleycanrun 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Pardon My Heart 5.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Rosa Star 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Aloha Kitten 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Sylvanella 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 I’ll Do It My Way 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Miss Wrote 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Twilight 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Memphis Showboat 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Katz a Dream 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Twirling Faith 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Shadilee 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Smack 4.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Capture the Genie 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Super Cat Lady 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Osaka Girl 4.50 3.2 6-1
11 10 Mimina’s Team 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Ella Brilla 6.00 4 8-1
14 12 Enjoyitwhilewecan 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Nope (IRE) 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Linny Kate 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Bean Counter 8.00 5 9-1
10 9 Diamond Sparkles 12.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Kilkea 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Setting the Mood 12.00 6.4 12-1
12 11 Lake Lucerne 20.00 7.9 15-1
6 6 Indicia 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Beam of Light 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Follow the Flag 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Holyanna 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Passive Investing 30.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Victorian Gold (IRE) 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Cadencia 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Alwayz Late 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Never Content (IRE) 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Not Shy 10.00 4.2 8-1
11 10 Killario 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Secrets Told 15.00 5.6 11-1
13 11 Dance With Destiny 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 2 Great Warrior (IRE) 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 9 Maria’s Revenge 20.00 7.1 13-1
9 8 Careless Heiress 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Deemed Essential 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Miss Empirement 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Semble Juste (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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