Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 13, 2021
February 13, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gran Manna | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Founder’s Day | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Lea | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Right Trappe | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viva Violence | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Emerald Princess | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Polyester Bride | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Prate | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Xtreme Mayhem | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Wellington | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Edge to Edge | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bob’s Edge | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lawlessness | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lock Up | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jesse Jones | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Rock City Rocket | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Leo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roll Dinero Roll | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Serbian Sailor | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Macho Rocket Man | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Willy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Way Street | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Bogey | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lime Tree Valley | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Tipsy | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cinnamon Victory | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gun It | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Rock | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonny Smack | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chris and Dave | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bruder Bob | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tez | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All West | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | He’smyhoneybadger | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ardanwood | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caerus | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cost Average | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ram | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saqeel | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chrome Run | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captain Fantastic | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dean Martini | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cyril’s Boy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make Noise | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pirate Rick | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backshot | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lonely Private | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Best of Greeley | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Authority | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frolic More | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Abrogate | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ava’s Grace | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goin’ Good | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Windmill | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mariah’s Princess | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Twenty | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | King of the Nite | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Reserve | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Violent Gigi | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Golden Flash | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Test of Will | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Name Rejected | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stilleto Boy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Right Tone | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lazaretto | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tillis | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cronus | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bamalama | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cold as Hell | 30.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Razorback H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Owendale | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Guide | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wells Bayou | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Freeze | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Prospector | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coastal Defense | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Range Toddy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Forget | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | P R Radio Star | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drena’s Star | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hidden Promise | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drill’s Li’l Man | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sevier | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loopallu | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Naughty Alfred | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Undercover Lover | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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