Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 13, 2021

February 13, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Gran Manna 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Founder’s Day 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Princess Lea 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Right Trappe 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Viva Violence 10.00 5 9-1
6 6 Emerald Princess 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Polyester Bride 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Prate 2.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Xtreme Mayhem 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sir Wellington 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Edge to Edge 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Bob’s Edge 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Lawlessness 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Lock Up 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Jesse Jones 3.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Rock City Rocket 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Prince Leo 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Roll Dinero Roll 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Serbian Sailor 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Macho Rocket Man 10.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Sharp Willy 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 One Way Street 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Double Bogey 6.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Lime Tree Valley 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 My Little Tipsy 30.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Cinnamon Victory 30.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gun It 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Lone Rock 3.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sonny Smack 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Chris and Dave 5.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Bruder Bob 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Tez 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 All West 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 He’smyhoneybadger 1.80 2.1 4-1
5 5 Ardanwood 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Caerus 8.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Cost Average 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Ram 15.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Saqeel 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Chrome Run 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Captain Fantastic 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Dean Martini 3.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Cyril’s Boy 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Make Noise 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Pirate Rick 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Backshot 2.50 4 7-1
3 3 Lonely Private 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Best of Greeley 12.00 5 10-1
4 4 Full Authority 4.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Frolic More 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Dixie Belle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Abrogate 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Ava’s Grace 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Goin’ Good 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Windmill 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Mariah’s Princess 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Miss Twenty 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 King of the Nite 6.00 2.9 5-1
11 11 Reserve 6.00 3 6-1
5 5 Violent Gigi 10.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Golden Flash 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Test of Will 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Name Rejected 3.00 4 8-1
9 9 Stilleto Boy 5.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Right Tone 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Lazaretto 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Tillis 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Cronus 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Bamalama 20.00 9.1 17-1
6 6 Cold as Hell 30.00 9.3 17-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Razorback H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Owendale 2.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Mystic Guide 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Wells Bayou 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Mr Freeze 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Silver Prospector 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Coastal Defense 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Long Range Toddy 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Don’t Forget 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 P R Radio Star 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Drena’s Star 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Hidden Promise 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Drill’s Li’l Man 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Sevier 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Loopallu 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Naughty Alfred 15.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Undercover Lover 12.00 6.6 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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