Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 12, 2021

February 12, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kittenofthe Court 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Kaitlyn’s Court 4.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Fuhrcry 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Slewalyze 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Looking Hot 4.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Divided 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Lil Bad Lil Boujee 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 My Girl Em 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Who Dat Grey 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Freedom Factor 4.50 3.2 6-1
11 6 Laddie Boy 3.50 3.3 6-1
5 2 Rock Me 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 3 Greeley’s Banker 12.00 7.3 14-1
8 4 State Treasurer 10.00 7.6 14-1
10 5 Tigerbeach 10.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Channel Won 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Just Blaze 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Warriors Gem 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Western Trouble 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 More Abundance 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mane Priority 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Maw Maw’s Sophia 4.50 3.6 7-1
10 10 Crypto Brave 4.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Our Starlet 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Stang It 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Whodatwhodat 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Blue Ridge Heat 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Iona Guitar 15.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Beautifulandwild 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Candy Candy Candy 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Musical Man 3.00 1.7 3-1
1 3 Bayou Jam 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 7 Jaci’s Royalty 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 9 Standing Man 6.00 5 10-1
2B 8 Inca Warrior 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 1 Heza Priority 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Luckenbacher 10.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Richie Gary 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 2 Pre Heat 8.00 7.4 14-1
1A 5 Ripittotheright 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Get the Prize 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Boyfriend Material 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 On Your Mark 6.00 3 6-1
5 4 Mister K 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Elusive d’Oro 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Kowboy Karma 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Lafitte’s Fleet 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Wandering West 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Unitedandresolute 2.50 1.9 4-1
10 8 A C Expressway 4.00 2 4-1
5 4 Field Day 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Lookin for Loki 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Heza Way Maker 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 6 Crime Spree 10.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Game Day Play 10.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 Passageway 12.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Inner Ghost 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Chatter Box 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Bold Confection 6.00 2 4-1
8 7 Empress Catherine 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Pauline’s Pearl 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Mucho Macho Momma 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Suki 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Closet Shopper 8.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Dottie 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Watrugonnadokaren 20.00 6.1 12-1
3 2 Latte Dolce 20.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Cashew 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 9 Musta Got Lost 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 5 Kamara Vision 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 3 Bitsy’s Other Half 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 6 Irish Bayou 8.00 4.3 8-1
12 8 Your Time’s Coming 5.00 4.5 8-1
5 2 Totally Addicted 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 4 Grand Priority 15.00 7.3 14-1
4 1 Ballinonabudjet 12.00 7.4 14-1
1A 11 Degrasse 15.00 7.6 14-1
10 7 Charlie G 30.00 9.7 18-1
15 10 Sneaky Allie Kat 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 10 Apache Tears 15.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Amavi 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Smarty Alex 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Crown Me Jackson 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hotpin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Li’l Tootsie 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 4 Sister Annie 4.50 2.6 5-1
9 6 Cantata 4.00 2.9 5-1
10 7 Minute Waltz 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 3 Social Dilemma 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 2 Big Time 10.00 5 9-1
8 5 Beautiful Star 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Sariah Sariah 20.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 She a Hot Mess 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Maystart 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Makeajoyfulnoise 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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