Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 12, 2021

February 12, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Wishes and Dreams 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Miss Charisma 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 Hey It’s Tati 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Charlotte Webley 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Trapped N My Mind 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 High School Crush 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Remoane 1.60 1.7 3-1
6 6 Menzamenz 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Love That Face 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Crick 5.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Grape Therapy 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Madam Deputy 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Golden Celine 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Mia Calia 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Maiden Beauty 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Ice Princess 1.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Customerexperience 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Love and Love 5.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Big Bennys Tribute 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Buyer’s Remorse 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Mia Bea Star 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Make Or Break 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Holmdel Park 5.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Nicky Scissors 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Choose Happiness 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Misty Taste 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Wear My Ring 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Enter Sandwoman 3.00 1.1 2-1
8 6 What Mightavebeen 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Quiet Type 5.00 2.4 4-1
6 5 Seahorse d’Oro 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Stormi Cat Lady 3.50 3 6-1
5 4 Super Belle 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Aurannian 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bella Bay 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twelfth Labour 1.60 1.9 4-1
7 7 Not That Brady 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Wild Banker 5.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 The Last Zip 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Skyscanner 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Blood Moon 10.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Forever Wicked 30.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Risk Model 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Forever Changed 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Glass Ceiling 2.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Bay Jewel 10.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Dovey Lovey 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Awesome Debate 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 She’s a Black Belt 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Glory Dia 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Loaded Joe 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Lorenzen 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Paint Music for Me 1.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Grecian Pharoah 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Orphan Hallie 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ballydooley (GB) 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Height 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Across the Channel 50.00 6 11-1
9 9 Devilish Mood 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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