February 12, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Wishes and Dreams | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Miss Charisma | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Hey It’s Tati | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Charlotte Webley | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Trapped N My Mind | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | High School Crush | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Remoane | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Menzamenz | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Love That Face | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Crick | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
7 | 7 | Grape Therapy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Madam Deputy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
5 | 5 | Golden Celine | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Mia Calia | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Maiden Beauty | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Ice Princess | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Customerexperience | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Love and Love | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Big Bennys Tribute | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Buyer’s Remorse | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Mia Bea Star | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
5 | 4 | Make Or Break | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Holmdel Park | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Nicky Scissors | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Choose Happiness | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Misty Taste | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Wear My Ring | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 2 | Enter Sandwoman | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
8 | 6 | What Mightavebeen | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
4 | 3 | Quiet Type | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Seahorse d’Oro | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | Stormi Cat Lady | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Super Belle | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Aurannian | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Bella Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Twelfth Labour | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Not That Brady | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Wild Banker | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | The Last Zip | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Skyscanner | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Blood Moon | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Forever Wicked | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Risk Model | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Forever Changed | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Glass Ceiling | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Bay Jewel | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Dovey Lovey | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Awesome Debate | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | She’s a Black Belt | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Glory Dia | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Loaded Joe | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
8 | 8 | Lorenzen | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Paint Music for Me | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Grecian Pharoah | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Orphan Hallie | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Ballydooley (GB) | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
4 | 4 | Height | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 7 | Across the Channel | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
9 | 9 | Devilish Mood | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.