Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 7, 2021

February 7, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Raneem 1.60 1.8 3-1
6 6 Jan Jan Can 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Pasito 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Jumping Jill Flash 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Full Eclipse 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Realrealgood 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Velvet 3.00 1.3 2-1
11 11 Xmas Surprise 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lady Macarena 12.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Bleu Ballon 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Damn the Torpedoes 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Shvere Arbeter 6.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 K P Kan Do 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Malibu Hannah 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Queen of Arendell 15.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Bowl of Cherries 15.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Jaxons Tour Guide 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Impression 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Flip the Coin Jan 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Kenzou’s Rhythm 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Shane Zain 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Outlaw 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Honoring Major 4.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Super Classic 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Bitter Ring Home 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 All Quality 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Miss Lucy (IRE) 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Sapphire Kid 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Over Attracted 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Magical Gray 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Greg’s Diva 1.60 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr. Impossible 3.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Bezos 1.20 2.4 5-1
9 9 Dream Shake 10.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Chaos Reigns 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Tivoli Twirl 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Law Professor 20.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Harbored Memories 6.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Lone Scout 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Deservedly 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Bye Bye Nicky 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 A G Indy 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Prance 12.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Acai 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Translate 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Bruja Escarlata 2.50 4.8 9-1
10 8 Lucky Long Legs 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Buy Wave Buy 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 I’m the Hero 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Star Kissed 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Edgeway 1.20 1.6 3-1
2 2 Quality Response 3.00 2 4-1
5 5 Miss Bigly 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Hotitude 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Acting Out 2.50 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shady Empire 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Master Ryan 5.00 3 6-1
10 10 Eustace 10.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Colt Fiction 2.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 First Prez 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Hammering Lemon 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Brix 3.50 5.9 11-1
6 6 Zipper Mischief 12.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Hit the Seam 20.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Handsome Cat 15.00 8.5 16-1
8 8 Single Me Out 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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