February 7, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atlantic Road | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Big Dreams | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Will E Sutton | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nepotism | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Three Two Zone | 10.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Smitty Run | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Minuteman (GER) | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Home Run Maker | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zaevion | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clench | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Lute | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Laddie Liam | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Batterbatterswing | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Ruthless S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Little Huntress | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Brazil | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gulf Coast | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dealing Justice | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | It Can | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo Desserts | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | O’Gotten Girl | 0.80 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Firing Carol | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bravo Regina | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Handle the Truth | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crystal Orb | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Violent Trick | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Excess Capacity | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viradia | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Humor | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Tina | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Daria’s Angel | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nasty Affair | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sirenic | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cadeau de Paix | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Passage | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Corey | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mi Mi | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Kiki | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Adhwaa | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Backsideofthemoon | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Someday Jones | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Empty Tomb | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Limonite | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Danny California | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Rule | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acker | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Whyisshesoolucky | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Tanya’s Gem | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Dragoness | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Persian Queen | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dirty Bird | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Ring | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Molly’s Game | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Movie Score | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zecha | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.