February 6, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ekklesia | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Act | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bold Endeavor | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brandothebartender | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kanderel | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surfing Star | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Potantico | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ivy League | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Focaccina | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hyland Haven | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Peaky Blinder | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Diva | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cider Apple (GB) | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whistler’s Style | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweetest Angel | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Las Virgenes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight d’Oro | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moraz | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kalypso | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Honor America | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brilliant Cut | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Marcos S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salvator Mundi | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masteroffoxhounds | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar Dominguez (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cleopatra’s Strike | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Acclimate | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starting Over | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Allergic to Logic | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pawnee | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smoothlikebuttah | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Chick | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curious Inji | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Rebekah | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Half Hoping | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Medusa’s Gaze | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Race Judicata | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bandeena | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alysse | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Here Comes Ralphie | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Whisper Not (GB) | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Ay Em | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keystone Field | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Club Aspen | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rustic Canyon | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gregdar | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shazier | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Offshore Affair | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | The Street Fighter | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gauguin (GER) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Vicente S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Concert Tour | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Chosen Vron | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Fighter | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Found My Ball | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Uncle Boogie | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Impossible | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Thunder Road S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Hembree | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hit the Road | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Border Town | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sombeyay | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bob and Jackie | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Restrainedvengence | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Campaign | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Award Winner | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Threearchbaymafia | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Squalotoro | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Bubbly | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turntheclocktozero | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zorich | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamer’s Reality | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Bob’s Sniper | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Ricky | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bird | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nonno’s Polaris | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dapper | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coil to Strike | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Purda Vita | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lunatic | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shout It Out | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Varoma | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Agreetodisagree | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aadhana | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Journey | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cutetip | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Esja | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zu Zu Flynn | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ragged Rose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Jaxons Tour Guide | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kind But She Lies | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brio Is Awesome | 30.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.