Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 6, 2021

February 6, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ekklesia 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Royal Act 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Bold Endeavor 4.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Brandothebartender 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Kanderel 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Surfing Star 3.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Potantico 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Ivy League 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Focaccina 3.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Hyland Haven 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Miss Peaky Blinder 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Midnight Diva 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Cider Apple (GB) 4.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Whistler’s Style 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Sweetest Angel 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Las Virgenes S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moonlight d’Oro 1.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Moraz 2.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Kalypso 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Honor America 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Brilliant Cut 8.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Marcos S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Salvator Mundi 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Masteroffoxhounds 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Oscar Dominguez (IRE) 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Cleopatra’s Strike 8.00 3 6-1
4 4 Acclimate 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Starting Over 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Allergic to Logic 4.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Pawnee 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Smoothlikebuttah 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Big Chick 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Curious Inji 4.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Miss Rebekah 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Half Hoping 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Medusa’s Gaze 6.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Race Judicata 12.00 7.3 14-1
12 12 Bandeena 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Alysse 30.00 10 19-1
7 7 Here Comes Ralphie 30.00 11.1 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Whisper Not (GB) 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 5 Three Ay Em 5.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Keystone Field 6.00 3 6-1
10 9 Club Aspen 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Rustic Canyon 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Gregdar 8.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Shazier 15.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Offshore Affair 10.00 7.6 14-1
8 7 The Street Fighter 15.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Gauguin (GER) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – San Vicente S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Concert Tour 1.60 1.7 3-1
2 2 The Chosen Vron 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Freedom Fighter 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Found My Ball 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Uncle Boogie 12.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mr. Impossible 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Thunder Road S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 6 Hembree 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Hit the Road 4.00 2 4-1
4 3 Border Town 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Sombeyay 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 5 Bob and Jackie 2.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Restrainedvengence 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Campaign 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Award Winner 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Threearchbaymafia 4.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Squalotoro 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 More Bubbly 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Turntheclocktozero 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Zorich 4.50 7 13-1
3 3 Dreamer’s Reality 5.00 7.2 14-1
12 12 Bob’s Sniper 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Prince Ricky 12.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Bird 8.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Nonno’s Polaris 15.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Dapper 15.00 10.1 19-1
7 7 Coil to Strike 20.00 11.2 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Purda Vita 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Lunatic 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Shout It Out 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Varoma 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Agreetodisagree 3.50 6.5 12-1
2 2 Aadhana 4.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Golden Journey 12.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Cutetip 12.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Esja 20.00 9 17-1
7 7 Zu Zu Flynn 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ragged Rose 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jaxons Tour Guide 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kind But She Lies 30.00 10.9 21-1
4 4 Brio Is Awesome 30.00 11.1 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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