February 6, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Windchill Zar | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vehement | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hooperdrivesthboat | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hawk Tail | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | F J’s Gem | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Diamond and Silks | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bluebird Sing | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Susan Ann | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gio’s Lil Angel | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Grace | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nine Line Bind | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Promo Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Offspring | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Declarationwarrior | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Stop War | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Lucky Find | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Hear You | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Veruca | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | More Than Unusual | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Lea’s Princess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unanimously | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gallant Star | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Highland Creek | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Henning | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Schnell | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Janets Jay Jay | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whoosah | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 8 | Forsaken | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Gershwin | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Plutonium | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Koufax | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Mischief | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Revelator | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cees Get Degrees | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Senor Fireball | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Summer | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aimingforthestars | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Clarestown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Prairie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Blushinstreetdevil | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Win Worthy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Echoesoftime | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Strong Beauty | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yes Gorgeous | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hiclass Production | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suzie’s Dream | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sucre | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flashyboy’s Lilsis | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lil Peastoch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Dune of Pilat (FR) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Toma Todo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Jolting Joe | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Sandino Ruler (ARG) | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Blue Jays | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Conative | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Attorney Tim | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stanford (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Darain (GB) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | War Savvy | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Everlovinghand | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Martinized | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Father Goose | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Universe | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Magawildtime | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Multidimensional | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zion’s Call | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justin’smemories | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Jus Lively | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Jax Man | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Budro Talking | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Power Jet | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sydster | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Maga Man | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mageez | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Drewcitable | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Ascent | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | O’L Red | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ninety One Assault | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | In the Navy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Rebel | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Our Mardi Gras | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girl in Black | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shooting Stick | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sugar Pie Street | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Coy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mercedes Ladies | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gerrie Lou | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm Cat’s Cry | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.