Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 4, 2021

February 4, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Thornish 2.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Moonshine Moment 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Arlington’s Shine 6.00 5 9-1
5 5 Risky Situation 3.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Will Red 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Trophy Daddy 4.50 6.1 11-1
2 2 La’ Hopper 20.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Cyber Flame 20.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Tuffy 12.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Shine Jack’s Dream 30.00 9.8 18-1
10 10 Daddy Jack 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cashanova 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Shortlist 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Dunph 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Hard to Be Good 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Coal Truth 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Home Run Trick 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Catdaddy 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Iza Daddy 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 1 Weast Hill 2.50 3.8 7-1
1A 8 Cowboy Cactus Jack 12.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Macho Rocco 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Promising Shoes 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Babadoook 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 2 Heritage Park 5.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 African Warrior 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 3 C H Jay 12.00 6.9 13-1
8 7 R V T Thunder Road 30.00 8.5 16-1
3 2 Heisfancy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Niles Channel 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 6 Rock Ridge 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Englander 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 4 Smack Attack 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Confess 8.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Mr. Peterkin 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Poterya 15.00 7.4 14-1
6 5 Tiz the Journey 15.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Grand Design 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Kalliniki 4.50 3 6-1
1 1 Whoville 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Irish Halo 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Hopping Jitterbug 4.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Competitive Fire 4.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 French Charm 3.50 4.8 9-1
8 8 Ms Falsetto 10.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 Moonshine Dancing 20.00 6.6 13-1
11 11 My City Girl 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Western Attire 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Unburnt 20.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 My Wicked Wish 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tapit Baby 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Axis 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Coach Dan 4.00 4 8-1
4 3 Quality Run 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Dryspell 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Jackman 6.00 4.5 8-1
1 4 Kickin’ Kirby 8.00 6.8 13-1
13 12 Go Go Girolamo 10.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Got It All 12.00 7.5 14-1
11 10 That Dude 20.00 9.1 17-1
1A 14 Biker Tim 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rosie’s City Boy 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Trail Driver 20.00 10.6 20-1
8 8 Harry 30.00 10.7 20-1
9 9 My Little Tip 30.00 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Plainsman 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Snapper Sinclair 1.20 2.2 4-1
5 5 Lord Dragon 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 You’re to Blame 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Carlos L. 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 American Dubai 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Thirstforlife 10.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bye Bye J 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sunny Dale 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Ain’t No Elmers 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Headland 5.00 5 10-1
2 2 French Empire 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 She’s All Wolfe 8.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Peruvian Appeal 8.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Ring Leader 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 A Thousand Reasons 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tiger Bait 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Midnight Karma 8.00 4.5 8-1
12 11 Lady Gusto 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Ms. Malevolence 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Wicked Flashback 2.50 5.2 10-1
13 12 Beauty Day 6.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 French Rose 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Visual Magic 8.00 6.5 12-1
11 10 Awesome Indra 5.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Bobbie too Too 20.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Parkin in the Rear 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Sheshed 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 All in Bronson 30.00 11.3 21-1
7 7 Minji 30.00 11.9 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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