February 4, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thornish | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonshine Moment | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arlington’s Shine | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Situation | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Will Red | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trophy Daddy | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La’ Hopper | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Cyber Flame | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tuffy | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shine Jack’s Dream | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Daddy Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cashanova | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shortlist | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dunph | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Be Good | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coal Truth | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Home Run Trick | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catdaddy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Iza Daddy | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Weast Hill | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Cowboy Cactus Jack | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Macho Rocco | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Promising Shoes | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Babadoook | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Heritage Park | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | African Warrior | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | C H Jay | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | R V T Thunder Road | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heisfancy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Niles Channel | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rock Ridge | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Englander | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smack Attack | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Confess | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Peterkin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poterya | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz the Journey | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Design | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Kalliniki | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whoville | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Irish Halo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hopping Jitterbug | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Competitive Fire | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | French Charm | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Falsetto | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Moonshine Dancing | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My City Girl | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Western Attire | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unburnt | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Wicked Wish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Baby | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Axis | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Dan | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quality Run | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dryspell | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jackman | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Kickin’ Kirby | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Go Go Girolamo | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Got It All | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | That Dude | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Biker Tim | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rosie’s City Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Trail Driver | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Harry | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Little Tip | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Plainsman | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Snapper Sinclair | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Dragon | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | You’re to Blame | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carlos L. | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Dubai | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirstforlife | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bye Bye J | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Dale | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ain’t No Elmers | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Headland | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | French Empire | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She’s All Wolfe | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Peruvian Appeal | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ring Leader | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Thousand Reasons | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Bait | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Karma | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lady Gusto | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Ms. Malevolence | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Flashback | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Beauty Day | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | French Rose | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Visual Magic | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Awesome Indra | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bobbie too Too | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Parkin in the Rear | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sheshed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | All in Bronson | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Minji | 30.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.