February 4, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Creative Cloud | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Comedy Town | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Officiating | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Borkan | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Higher Law | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nacho Supreme | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dunkle | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maracaibo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vegas Weekend | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Len Lo Lady | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Family Time | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Fashion | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Jokes On Me | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yes It’s Free | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | On a Tour | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Honorable | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy Tourist | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Chao | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Passage | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Golovkin | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Famous Gent | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Game | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Go Mike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ishfaaq | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Favorite Sin | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emma Rose | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Touring Egypt | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boxer Rebellion | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raspberry Ballet | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dream Friend | 1.40 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretendant | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ninja Dust | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cairo Campaign | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Positive Phil | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strong Ending | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hero Up | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beinfun | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Buffalo Max | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pens Street | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Reinforced | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flight to Shanghai | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shop Girl | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Proposal | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Sparkle | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viva La Reina | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pleasecallmeback | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shootin the Breeze | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Currency | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calibrator | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zap Daddy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Call Curt | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oceans Map | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Empire Express | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slippin Jimmy | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Renaisance Frolic | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Unmoored | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sand Dancer | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mo Maverick | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Identifier | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Forever Mo | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gemonteer | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cove Blue | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Belgrano | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Be Honest | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loriloupies | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sarasota Star | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foxy Mischief | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comp’d | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes All Woman | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Domineer | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Take Me as I Am | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time Sensitive | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joy in Grace | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Amendment | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’sanearthmover | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Short Circuit | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Winter Princess | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dora Princella | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Fabiola Princess | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Eye Kitten | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backspark | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Katiesdreamgirl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Alexandra Am I | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.