Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 4, 2021

February 4, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Creative Cloud 3.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Comedy Town 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Officiating 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Borkan 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Higher Law 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Nacho Supreme 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Dunkle 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Maracaibo 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vegas Weekend 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Len Lo Lady 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Family Time 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 High Fashion 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 The Jokes On Me 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Yes It’s Free 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 On a Tour 5.00 2.8 5-1
8 6 Honorable 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Indy Tourist 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Chao 4.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Southern Passage 8.00 6.6 12-1
6 5 Golovkin 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 7 Famous Gent 10.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Hard Game 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Go Mike 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ishfaaq 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Favorite Sin 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Emma Rose 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Touring Egypt 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Boxer Rebellion 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Raspberry Ballet 8.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dream Friend 1.40 2.4 4-1
2 2 Pretendant 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Ninja Dust 4.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Cairo Campaign 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Positive Phil 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Strong Ending 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Hero Up 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Beinfun 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Buffalo Max 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pens Street 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Reinforced 4.00 2 4-1
2 2 Flight to Shanghai 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Shop Girl 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sky Proposal 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Silent Sparkle 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Viva La Reina 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pleasecallmeback 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Shootin the Breeze 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Bourbon Currency 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Calibrator 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Zap Daddy 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Call Curt 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Oceans Map 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Empire Express 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Slippin Jimmy 12.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Renaisance Frolic 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Unmoored 3.50 3 6-1
5 4 Sand Dancer 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Mo Maverick 2.50 4.6 9-1
9 7 Identifier 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Forever Mo 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Gemonteer 15.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Cove Blue 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Belgrano 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Let’s Be Honest 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Loriloupies 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 My Sarasota Star 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Foxy Mischief 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Comp’d 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Shes All Woman 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Domineer 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Take Me as I Am 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Time Sensitive 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Joy in Grace 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Miss Amendment 10.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 She’sanearthmover 8.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Short Circuit 10.00 4 8-1
11 10 Winter Princess 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dora Princella 15.00 5.1 10-1
12 11 Fabiola Princess 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Blue Eye Kitten 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Backspark 30.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Katiesdreamgirl 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Alexandra Am I 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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