February 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Native Trip | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souvenir Channel | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cozzene Zing | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fearless Dixie | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arctic Guitar | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | May Blossom | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Party With Kassidy | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Brahms’ Regal Gal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Georgia Dawn | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Streettalkinhottie | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weavemeawinr | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Two With a Ten | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | At Once | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | See Sassy Run | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Mallory’s On | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dignityto Infinity | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Boston Slick | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mean Cruiser | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cajun Berti | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crusader Express | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shady Grady | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Peytonwegotdonuts | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Wayne’s Hope | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Charli Michael | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Apriority Storm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Good Times Rollin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | D’festive Cat | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Prado | 1.80 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magnanimus Man | 8.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ship Stalker | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stuart Hall | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forgotten Coast | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Bomber | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Donwell | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweeping Edge | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Inferno | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fireman Sid | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Obstructed View | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildfire Storm | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lightning Harbour | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Not Fade Away | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Jazz | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dewey’s Little Joe | 1.80 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carries Man | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Twist | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wrongwayhighway | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajuns Golden Pond | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Morricone | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Got Kramer | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Foolish Dreams | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cohere | 3.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strong Rules | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Robtadi Storm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I’ll Raise You | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colonel Pike | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stormation | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Em C | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sonoma Crush | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Royal Privacy | 1.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fetchum Ketchum | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Bode | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fredonian | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Hatties Jewel | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Calculate | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Mischief’s Machine | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buxterhooter | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dreamonmebaby | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cantrell Hill | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zypto | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Crimson Zip | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Troy Ounce | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Canyon Fire | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Double Cool | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Andy | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soldiers Letter | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Such | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steppin’ Outonher | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beauty Boy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mine Inspector | 2.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One King Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.