Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 4, 2021

February 4, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Native Trip 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Souvenir Channel 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Cozzene Zing 3.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Fearless Dixie 6.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Arctic Guitar 4.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 May Blossom 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Party With Kassidy 1.80 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Brahms’ Regal Gal 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Georgia Dawn 10.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Streettalkinhottie 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Weavemeawinr 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Two With a Ten 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 At Once 1.80 3.8 7-1
9 9 See Sassy Run 3.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 My Mallory’s On 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dignityto Infinity 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Boston Slick 12.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Mean Cruiser 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 5 Cajun Berti 3.50 2.2 4-1
10 9 Crusader Express 20.00 9 17-1
5 4 Shady Grady 8.00 9.2 17-1
7 6 Peytonwegotdonuts 8.00 9.5 18-1
3 2 Wayne’s Hope 15.00 9.6 18-1
1 5 Charli Michael 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Apriority Storm 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Good Times Rollin 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 D’festive Cat 5.00 10 19-1
4 3 Grand Prado 1.80 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Magnanimus Man 8.00 0.9 2-1
7 6 Ship Stalker 3.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Stuart Hall 10.00 2 4-1
6 5 Forgotten Coast 1.80 2.1 4-1
2 2 Blue Bomber 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 7 Donwell 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Sweeping Edge 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Lucky Inferno 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fireman Sid 20.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Obstructed View 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Wildfire Storm 20.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Lightning Harbour 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Not Fade Away 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Louisiana Jazz 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Dewey’s Little Joe 1.80 7.2 14-1
9 8 Carries Man 4.50 7.5 14-1
4 4 Hard Twist 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wrongwayhighway 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Cajuns Golden Pond 20.00 6 11-1
7 6 Morricone 8.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Got Kramer 4.50 6.7 13-1
6 5 Foolish Dreams 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Cohere 3.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Strong Rules 1.80 6.9 13-1
5 5 Robtadi Storm 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I’ll Raise You 20.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Colonel Pike 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 8 Stormation 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Big Em C 3.50 5.6 11-1
8 7 Sonoma Crush 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Hubbadahubbadaboom 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Royal Privacy 1.80 6.5 12-1
7 6 Fetchum Ketchum 5.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Bayou Bode 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fredonian 15.00 1.6 3-1
1A 6 Hatties Jewel 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 7 Calculate 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 9 Mischief’s Machine 12.00 3 6-1
4 4 Buxterhooter 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Dreamonmebaby 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Cantrell Hill 1.60 5.2 10-1
3 3 Zypto 5.00 5.8 11-1
7 8 Crimson Zip 12.00 7.2 14-1
9 10 Troy Ounce 10.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Canyon Fire 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Double Cool 5.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Lucky Andy 3.50 4 8-1
9 8 Soldiers Letter 20.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Such 20.00 5 10-1
5 5 Steppin’ Outonher 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Beauty Boy 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Mine Inspector 2.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 One King Cat 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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