January 31, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | El Diablo Rojo | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holden the Lute | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gate Speed | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crooked Finger Ray | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Prince | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Kept Waiting | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Noguez | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quiet Secretary | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Cover Version | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Much Happy | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sophie Antoinette | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboys Daughter | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A Thousand Dreams | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Flat Out Joy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dark Hedges | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Princeofthenorth | 5.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Defense Wins | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leprino | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Indian Trick | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Strike It Lucky | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame It On Kitty | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Valor | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lord Wimborne (IRE) | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ian Glass | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Heatwave | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | French Getaway | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blackout (FR) | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Worthy Turk | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Bob (IRE) | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Midnight Jamboree | 1.60 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady O’Prado | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Info’s Treasure | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Enriched by Deb | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Realrealgood | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Tale | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Y Not Sizzle | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Almost a Factor | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kleen Karma | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scarlet Heat | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rose’s Crystal | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peace Pipe | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pushing Sixty | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Square | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Queen | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kristi’s Tiger | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silk From Heaven | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Miss Ellie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Aguililla | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Homehome | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Dime | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Ebby | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Capo Mafioso | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Mystery | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inch | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | McWherter | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Verracity | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Me Macho | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Arrivederci Roma | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prince Magician | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stir the Pot | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.