January 30, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Bossy Mama | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maddie’s Mojito | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Feeling Flush | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ensleys Dream | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Our Little Tiger | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jeanne B | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Miss Millie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Lady On Ice | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Canadian Ginger | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Toffee | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sherilinda | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sea Glass | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swirling | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Full Draw | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Billy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K P D Day | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twirling Derby | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongol Altai | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Ryan Seven | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Landaa | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | This Tea | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookintogeteven | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Pamela | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shezaghost | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mo’ Licious | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Face Card Contessa | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – San Pasqual S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Express Train | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Guillermo | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Idol | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizamagician | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zestful | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loud Mouth | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speed Pass | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parsimony | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Tigre Terrible | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sparky Ville | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Robert B. Lewis S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Hot Rod Charlie | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Spielberg | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Roman Centurian | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Medina Spirit | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Parnelli | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wipe the Slate | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rombauer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Waspirant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seahawk Cody | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sabuda | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Theluteismine | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crash Corrigan | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stone’s River | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | J T’s Watch | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robin’s Legacy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Eddie | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Careless Kitten | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Roan Ranger | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gabby Hayes | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Little Mischief | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.