Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 30, 2021

January 30, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Scarlet Position 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 9 Big Affair 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Texas Music 4.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Frills 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Shaharazad 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Sweet Tatum 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Kasserine Pass 3.50 5 9-1
1A 8 Showit 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Valiant Lady 20.00 8.4 16-1
9 10 Skamania 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Five Dreams 3.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 King Henrik 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Wayakin 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Jedrek 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Western Pharoah 4.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Junesandra 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Air Show 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Awesome Charge 12.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Wheels 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Laughing Fox 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Rated R Superstar 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Intrepid Heart 4.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Caribbean (AUS) 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Blueridge Traveler 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Home Base 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Jumper 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Arrival 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Free 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Lay M Out 4.50 3.4 6-1
5 5 Keep Your Distance 4.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Its Cold in Dehere 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Pretty Britches 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Shackleford County 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Lil Miss Hot Mess 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Take Charge Erica 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Toni Ann’s Miracle 20.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Madison Way 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Martha Washington S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Coach 1.40 1.9 4-1
1 1 Joy’s Rocket 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Sylvia Q 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Lady Lilly 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Will’s Secret 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Novel Squall 15.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 The Mary Rose 3.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Too Pretty 4.50 7 13-1
6 6 Lil Tater 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Presley 6.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Tailorbeswift 8.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Bettyann 4.00 8 15-1
3 3 Triple Happy 15.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 Five Queens 12.00 8.4 16-1
5 5 Many Sweet Treats 10.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Oochie 15.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Shoot Me Straight 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Zanshoes 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Guest in My Heart 20.00 11.1 21-1
11 11 Hissy Missy 20.00 11.9 22-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Dream Princess 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 3 Lutescoot N Boogie 5.00 3.9 7-1
12 11 Shes Got It 5.00 4.4 8-1
11 10 Right Trappe 3.50 4.5 9-1
9 8 Northern Diamond 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Navy Lady 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Little Sure Shot 12.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Perfectiontodetail 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 4 Filly Ray Cyrus 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Freedom Bound 30.00 9 17-1
3 3 Fortuna Adiuvat 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Trouble Making 30.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Renegade Sunset 30.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – American Beauty S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Magic Dance 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 5 Frank’s Rockette 2.00 2.5 5-1
6 4 Amy’s Challenge 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 3 Wildwood’s Beauty 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Shesomajestic 12.00 5 10-1
8 6 Best Kept Secret 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 French Empire 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Sunny Dale 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lady’s Island 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 American Mandate 2.50 3.4 6-1
10 7 Pirate Rick 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 5 Impossible Task 8.00 4.6 9-1
13 10 Secret Courier 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Abundant 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Fastly 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Backshot 4.50 5.4 10-1
11 8 Background 12.00 7.7 14-1
4 3 Lonely Private 20.00 8.4 16-1
12 9 Chase Tracker 20.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Rob the Rich 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 No Shirt No Shoes 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 War Detonator 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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