January 30, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Scarlet Position | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Big Affair | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Texas Music | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frills | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shaharazad | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Tatum | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kasserine Pass | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Showit | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valiant Lady | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Skamania | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Five Dreams | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | King Henrik | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wayakin | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jedrek | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Western Pharoah | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Junesandra | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Show | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Charge | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wheels | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Fox | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rated R Superstar | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Intrepid Heart | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caribbean (AUS) | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blueridge Traveler | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Home Base | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jumper | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrival | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Free | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lay M Out | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Your Distance | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Its Cold in Dehere | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pretty Britches | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shackleford County | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lil Miss Hot Mess | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Take Charge Erica | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toni Ann’s Miracle | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madison Way | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Martha Washington S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Coach | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joy’s Rocket | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sylvia Q | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Lilly | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Will’s Secret | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Novel Squall | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Mary Rose | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Too Pretty | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Tater | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Presley | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tailorbeswift | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bettyann | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Triple Happy | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Five Queens | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Many Sweet Treats | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oochie | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shoot Me Straight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Zanshoes | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Guest in My Heart | 20.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hissy Missy | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Dream Princess | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lutescoot N Boogie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Shes Got It | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Right Trappe | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Northern Diamond | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Lady | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Sure Shot | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Perfectiontodetail | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Filly Ray Cyrus | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freedom Bound | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fortuna Adiuvat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trouble Making | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Renegade Sunset | 30.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – American Beauty S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Magic Dance | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Frank’s Rockette | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Amy’s Challenge | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Wildwood’s Beauty | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shesomajestic | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Best Kept Secret | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Empire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sunny Dale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady’s Island | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | American Mandate | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Pirate Rick | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Impossible Task | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Secret Courier | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Abundant | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fastly | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Backshot | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Background | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lonely Private | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Chase Tracker | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rob the Rich | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | No Shirt No Shoes | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | War Detonator | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.