Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 28, 2021
January 28, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Slide | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sister Secret Lee | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Break | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broke and Praying | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cherokeetin Xpress | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Harper Madison | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lawsuit Lucy | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Accustomed to Hope | 2.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Caused It | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Sweet Perfection | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Chicken Or the Egg | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Classic Greeley | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Purim King | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m d’Cat | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liam Skye | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinlee’s Song | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey’s Gone | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Relax Town | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kasens Train | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shugs Lil Bro | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Run Away Son | 6.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Callthewolfe | 2.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slow | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | R and R Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Muletrain | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Curlin | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beaux Victory | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Velvet Ridge | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Courageous Is Back | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Moonfield | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Memory Magic | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Panterita | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mo Gayle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Ocean Express | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | Darpa | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Shaharazad | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Star Gaze | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strawberry Summer | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sofia Kape | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Rebel Star | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Julie | 4.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Orthodox Beat | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cabo Sunset | 2.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Palais | 5.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missbudlitelime | 10.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belinda | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hillhidollaryankee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | My Little Fanny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stop the Friend | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vivinsky | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Debonnaire Dude | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kurts Raider | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bluewater Cat | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Force | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Distinct Quality | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Zens Secret | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash Dancerluck | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Love | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Waterwild | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Trump Media | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Palmy Sundae | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fazio | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | King Cookie | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Toni’s Star | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Farewell Time | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wayfaring Stranger | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | K D Street | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dejoke’s Song | 1.80 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gasolina | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wrath | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hook | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Summer Appeal | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Artist by the Sea | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | King Zippy | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mutineer | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Southpine Gift | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valley of the Hide | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Soldiers Letter | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Apalachee Bay | 1.80 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Aquaholic | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | St Maria | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Overly Sweet | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Safe Keeping | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devastating Beauty | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Clocked in Tyme | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queezer | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crider Chase | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Empire | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lady’s Tribute | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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