Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 28, 2021

January 28, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Slide 15.00 1.6 3-1
8 6 Sister Secret Lee 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Valid Break 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Broke and Praying 12.00 7.9 15-1
10 8 Cherokeetin Xpress 6.00 8 15-1
5 3 Harper Madison 30.00 8.2 15-1
7 5 Lawsuit Lucy 4.50 9.3 18-1
9 7 Accustomed to Hope 2.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 She Caused It 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Sweet Perfection 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Chicken Or the Egg 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classic Greeley 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Purim King 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 I’m d’Cat 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Liam Skye 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Kinlee’s Song 3.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Whiskey’s Gone 6.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Relax Town 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Kasens Train 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Shugs Lil Bro 15.00 2.5 5-1
8 7 Run Away Son 6.00 9.5 18-1
10 9 Callthewolfe 2.50 9.6 18-1
7 7 Slow 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 R and R Star 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Muletrain 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr. Curlin 6.00 10 19-1
5 5 Beaux Victory 12.00 10.1 19-1
3 3 Velvet Ridge 15.00 10.3 19-1
9 8 Courageous Is Back 8.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Moonfield 15.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Memory Magic 12.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Panterita 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 2 Mo Gayle 8.00 4 8-1
2 1 Miss Ocean Express 5.00 5.3 10-1
1 7 Darpa 1.80 SCRATCH
1A 8 Shaharazad 1.80 SCRATCH
6 5 Star Gaze 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Strawberry Summer 15.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sofia Kape 20.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 Red Rebel Star 20.00 9 17-1
6 6 Dynamic Julie 4.50 9.3 18-1
10 10 Orthodox Beat 5.00 9.4 18-1
8 8 Cabo Sunset 2.50 9.5 18-1
7 7 Palais 5.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Missbudlitelime 10.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Belinda 12.00 10 19-1
11 11 Hillhidollaryankee 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Little Fanny 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Stop the Friend 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Vivinsky 20.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Debonnaire Dude 3.50 5 9-1
7 7 Kurts Raider 8.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Bluewater Cat 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Silent Force 2.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Distinct Quality 15.00 7 13-1
10 9 Zens Secret 5.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Flash Dancerluck 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Flat Out Love 10.00 7.8 15-1
9 9 Waterwild 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Trump Media 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 3 Palmy Sundae 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 4 Fazio 6.00 1.7 3-1
3 2 King Cookie 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Toni’s Star 8.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Farewell Time 15.00 4.1 8-1
10 9 Wayfaring Stranger 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 K D Street 6.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Dejoke’s Song 1.80 8.7 16-1
1 1 Huffs Taz a Boo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gasolina 20.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Wrath 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Hook 20.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Summer Appeal 15.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Artist by the Sea 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 King Zippy 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Mutineer 5.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Southpine Gift 8.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Valley of the Hide 15.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 D’tuff Cat Rey 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Soldiers Letter 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Apalachee Bay 1.80 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Aquaholic 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 St Maria 12.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Overly Sweet 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Safe Keeping 20.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Devastating Beauty 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Clocked in Tyme 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Queezer 30.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Crider Chase 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sunny Empire 1.80 5 9-1
10 10 Lady’s Tribute 10.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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