Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 24, 2021

January 24, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dare to Promise 8.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Casanova Queen 10.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Heartful 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Promise the World 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Shootinforthemoon 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Our Bella Nicole 1.80 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Always Something 15.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Had the Notion 4.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Cairo Queen 2.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Stay Out 1.60 5.7 11-1
6 6 Paul’s Plunder 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Le Petite Papillon 6.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Catch the Sky 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Tizmo 15.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Fillmore East 8.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Sick Pack Sara 2.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 She’s All Courage 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Rockinhippiechick 20.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Ronomes 15.00 1.8 3-1
6A 6 Aprilness 2.50 3.5 7-1
5A 5 Writtenbythestars 2.50 4.9 9-1
9 9 Looks Don’t Lie 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Absolved 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Ziggy Mon 2.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Band On Tour 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Russeldoingthings 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Abuelo Paps 4.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Xmasinthecity 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Shackled 20.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Big Boots 3.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Five Card Draw 20.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Glengar 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Ticker Tape Parade 12.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Zitarrosa 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Victory Given 15.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Federale 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Cause He’s Western 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Easy River 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 No Chance Given 8.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Mosler’s Touch 5.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Not On My Watch 1.40 1.4 3-1
5 5 Thief of Dreams 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Bobbini 3.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Dragon Lily 20.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Bestla 30.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Siba 20.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Run Laura Run 10.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lambeau Lady 0.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Proper Attire 15.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Violentiam 15.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Kewpie Doll 3.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Supreme Blessing 20.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Mischiefs Model 6.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Peppa Starr 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Still Having Fun 12.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Stroll Smokin 2.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Reform School 12.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Charge to Victory 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Always Sunshine 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Awesome D J 6.00 1.9 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lifespan 1.40 1.2 2-1
4 4 Cheat ‘Em Charlie 20.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Distant Thunder 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sweet Asta 30.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Boss Life 6.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Day of Honor 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Padawhirk 30.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Boston Billy 8.00 2.2 4-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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