Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 24, 2021

January 24, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bobbies Reason 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Lauralee Cocodree 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 Breezin Bye You 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Betty Joy’s Star 3.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Cajun Music 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Flash Annie 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Iona Guitar 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Brew Crew 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Complex System 1.80 2.6 5-1
5 3 Schmoozin 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 F J’s Gem 20.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Desoto’s War 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 On the Muscle 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Outerbanks 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dreammaster 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Jackfruit 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Goforthewinecourse 2.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Hashtag Speed 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Son of Patriot 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Silent Cry 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Little Wise Guy 20.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 About Our Time 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 4 The Gray Blur 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 5 Hilton Magic 4.00 3.1 6-1
9 7 Xy Speed 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Sir Truebadour 12.00 4 7-1
5 3 Western Trouble 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Little Kansas 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Corruze 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Keys to the Palace 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heart That Binds 2.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Looking Hot 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Slewalyze 4.50 2.9 6-1
9 9 Ibegtodiffer 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Abigail G 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Seeking the Stars 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Kaitlyn’s Court 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Maybe Baby 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Shop Around 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Who Dat Grey 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Freda’s Smooth Air 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 4 Exacta 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 3 Mi Lia 6.00 3.5 7-1
1A 7 Blessed Anna 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Lookout Mountain 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 2 Sucre 8.00 6 11-1
10 6 Crimson Feline 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Grand Isle Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Elle Corredora 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Galaxy Thirtysix 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 G’s Deadline 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Vita 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Impressive Student 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Zenucci 2.50 2 4-1
8 8 Taken Back 4.50 2.4 4-1
5 5 Maga Man 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Rahfees Man 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Senator Con 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Louisiana Moon 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Like Mike 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Kinetic Sky 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 1 Blue Boon 5.00 2.2 4-1
10 5 Cody’s Legacy 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Fed Money 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 4 Sovereign Change 10.00 4 7-1
1 8 Global Empire 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Birthday Party 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Blushinstreetdevil 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Awesummer 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Struttinbuck 8.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Beniah 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 War Rogue 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Midnight Spirit 3.00 2.8 5-1
10 9 Impressive Greely 6.00 2.9 5-1
9 8 Flashburn 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Cajun Navy 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Southern Light 5.00 4 8-1
11 10 Mister Don 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Western Star 15.00 5.3 10-1
12 11 Babe Reed 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Lone Star Class 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 6 Heza Fortune 30.00 8 15-1
5 5 Wendy’s Will 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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