January 24, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bobbies Reason | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lauralee Cocodree | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breezin Bye You | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Betty Joy’s Star | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cajun Music | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash Annie | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iona Guitar | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Brew Crew | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Complex System | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Schmoozin | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | F J’s Gem | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desoto’s War | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | On the Muscle | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Outerbanks | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dreammaster | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jackfruit | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Goforthewinecourse | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hashtag Speed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Son of Patriot | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Cry | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Wise Guy | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | About Our Time | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | The Gray Blur | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hilton Magic | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Xy Speed | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sir Truebadour | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Western Trouble | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Kansas | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Corruze | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Keys to the Palace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heart That Binds | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Looking Hot | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slewalyze | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ibegtodiffer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abigail G | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seeking the Stars | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kaitlyn’s Court | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Maybe Baby | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shop Around | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Who Dat Grey | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Exacta | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mi Lia | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Blessed Anna | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lookout Mountain | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sucre | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Crimson Feline | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Grand Isle Girl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Elle Corredora | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | G’s Deadline | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vita | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Impressive Student | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zenucci | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taken Back | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maga Man | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rahfees Man | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Senator Con | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Moon | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Like Mike | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Kinetic Sky | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blue Boon | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Cody’s Legacy | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fed Money | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Sovereign Change | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Global Empire | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Birthday Party | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Blushinstreetdevil | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Awesummer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Struttinbuck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Beniah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | War Rogue | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Spirit | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Impressive Greely | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Flashburn | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cajun Navy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Southern Light | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mister Don | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Western Star | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Babe Reed | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Star Class | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Heza Fortune | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wendy’s Will | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.