January 23, 2021 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Maracuja | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hybrid Eclipse | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tekila | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Handle the Truth | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2A | 2 | After the Wire | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ricelle | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Needacarcalllouie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6A | 6 | Its All Relevant | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Gio d’Oro | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Aura | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Love Jaxson | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runabout | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Direct Order | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Storm | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Attentive | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Jazil S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Musical Heart | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tenderfoot | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Backsideofthemoon | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Buff | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fame to Famous | 50.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bustinmygroove | 0.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avid Sucinori | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Tony’s Girl | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scott Alaia | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harlem Dancer | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edge of Anxiety | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Winter Warrior | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flirtacious Kiss | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Great Poohdini | 50.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rift Valley | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kaz’s Beach | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Notorious Flirt | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Advanced Strategy | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Farragut | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Early | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Cry Anna | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Gun Hill Girl | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Captivating Cara | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bley | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vive La Liberty | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Full of Fire | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stella Mars | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tremayne | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wish for Magic | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Royal Suspect | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kingfish | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cohiba Ghost | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Unbridled John | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Quintarelli | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Implied Volatility | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beta | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Freedom Force | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honorable Avenue | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Malibu Star | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Aasr | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chestertown | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burning Bright | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Obsessed | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Villainous | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | American Rule | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Win With Pride | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justin Front | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Hurricane Dancer | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | It’s Hot Out | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Winning Drive | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Mist | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Corporate Raider | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | San Juan Diego | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Professor Snape | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | I Saw It All | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7A | 7 | Toohottoevenspeak | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shamrocked | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.