January 22, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mystery Messenger | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Cat | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Via Egnatia | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Itsthattime | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Self Taught | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appreciated | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Image | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cashlings | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Tripledouble | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Presto Bench | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lili’s Boy | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Musical Gem | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bolu | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He Be Dangerous | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lance the Legend | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Awhitesportscoat | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lolo Paniolo | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minoso | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Storm | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Colosi | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tobacco Road | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Write Me a Song | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jan’s Reserve | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cosa Nostra (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Portando | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Seeker | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mosby | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Standing O | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bob Daniels | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hockey Dad | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Minehunter | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lil Ricardo | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marksman On Target | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gordy’s Boy | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Dude | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bravestone | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Made in Karoo | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m All the Jedi | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tequila Diva | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Jewel | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sideways Suances | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chevelita | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Simmer Down | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gemstone Gal | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mo | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Constantia | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magical Gray | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Claro Que Si | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Ellie Arroway | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Jen’s Battle | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Lavender (IRE) | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Roses and Candy | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Anonymously | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rather Nosy | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trouville | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kleen Karma | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Miss Alegria | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Buy Wave Buy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Va Va Vegas | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sabuda | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gabby Hayes | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Found My Ball | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | By Moonlight | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alexander’s Dream | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run King Stud Run | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lessons of Autism | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Luckys Last Stand | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Exultation | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hartel | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystery Man | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Red Mule | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mecklenburg (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Montana Moon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Show Business | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | One Flew South | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gov From Above | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zipper Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dreamer’s Reality | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Flat White | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Eskimo Roses | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Surfside Sunset | 50.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.