Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 22, 2021

January 22, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mystery Messenger 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Kitten’s Cat 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Via Egnatia 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Itsthattime 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Self Taught 4.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Appreciated 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Golden Image 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cashlings 1.20 3.3 6-1
7 6 Mr. Tripledouble 12.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Presto Bench 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lili’s Boy 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Musical Gem 20.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bolu 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 He Be Dangerous 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Lance the Legend 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Awhitesportscoat 3.50 2.9 5-1
10 10 Lolo Paniolo 10.00 3 6-1
2 2 Minoso 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Black Storm 5.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Colosi 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tobacco Road 3.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Write Me a Song 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 Jan’s Reserve 5.00 5 9-1
6 6 Cosa Nostra (IRE) 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Portando 20.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Royal Seeker 50.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mosby 8.00 2 4-1
4 4 Standing O 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Bob Daniels 2.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Hockey Dad 6.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Minehunter 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Lil Ricardo 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Marksman On Target 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 Gordy’s Boy 4.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Royal Dude 20.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Bravestone 50.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Made in Karoo 1.80 2.2 4-1
8 8 I’m All the Jedi 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Tequila Diva 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Malibu Jewel 6.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Sideways Suances 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Chevelita 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Simmer Down 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Gemstone Gal 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Lady Mo 30.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Constantia 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Magical Gray 5.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Claro Que Si 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 9 Ellie Arroway 6.00 5.9 11-1
12 10 Jen’s Battle 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 5 Lavender (IRE) 4.50 7.4 14-1
8 6 Roses and Candy 8.00 8.2 16-1
9 7 Anonymously 6.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Rather Nosy 10.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Trouville 12.00 9.7 18-1
4 4 Kleen Karma 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Alegria 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Buy Wave Buy 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Va Va Vegas 2.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Sabuda 3.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Gabby Hayes 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Found My Ball 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 By Moonlight 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Alexander’s Dream 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Run King Stud Run 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Lessons of Autism 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Luckys Last Stand 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Exultation 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Hartel 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Mystery Man 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Red Mule 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Mecklenburg (IRE) 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Montana Moon 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Show Business 30.00 7 13-1
9 9 One Flew South 2.50 7.4 14-1
5 5 Gov From Above 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Zipper Mischief 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Dreamer’s Reality 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flat White 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Eskimo Roses 0.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Surfside Sunset 50.00 11.2 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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