Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 22, 2021

January 22, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Come On Dover 15.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Lovethatcause 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Ravens Reflection 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Kristo 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Clear the Mine 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 All Shacked Up 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Galactica 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Calculated Risker 15.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Strate Remark 2.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tapalong 15.00 1 2-1
8 8 Zippy Chick 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Nanabanana 30.00 2 4-1
6 6 Competitive Fire 6.00 3.2 6-1
10 10 Beauty Day 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Lucky Every Day 4.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Justatapin 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Aunt Sunshine 20.00 8.2 16-1
4 4 Bluebird Day 5.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Warm Beauty 30.00 10.7 20-1
2 2 Ms Falsetto 15.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Mau Mau 6.00 1 2-1
7 5 Big Biz 10.00 1.1 2-1
2 1 Incorrigible 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 7 Davidic Line 20.00 4.4 8-1
9 6 First Rate 5.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Sharecropper 2.00 6.6 12-1
11 8 Wayne O 12.00 8.7 17-1
1 1 Handy 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jacks Fire Balls 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 My Name Is Phred 20.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Change Direction 15.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Courtney Fay 20.00 1 2-1
2 2 Feminine Allure 20.00 1 2-1
4 4 Cyber Sneaker 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Very Spicy 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gold N Sexy 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Arkansas Bling 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Five Star Moon 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Flat Out Gold 30.00 1 2-1
11 11 Fast Sophia 8.00 1 2-1
12 12 Smarty’s Angel 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Hot Springs Bling 12.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Rachie Rach 4.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 My Dams Atitude 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Wicked Street 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Believeinholidays 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Five O One 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Alexandros 20.00 3.2 6-1
12 11 Strolling 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 He’s No Bull 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Kowboy Karma 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Tough Stuff 3.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 May We All 30.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Cave Run 8.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 King of the Court 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Riverboat Gambler 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 He’s So Zazzy 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Naughty Alfred 30.00 10.9 21-1
10 9 He’s Meant to Be 6.00 13.6 26-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Major Chance 30.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tango Kilo 30.00 1 2-1
5 5 Captain Fantastic 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ardanwood 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 He’smyhoneybadger 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Silver Tap 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Wick 12.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Saffa’s Day 2.50 1.2 2-1
11 11 Saqeel 4.50 1.2 2-1
8 8 Antigravity 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Windcracker 6.00 1.3 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rubus 3.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Mucho 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Mojo Man 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Home Base 5.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Tough Love 6.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Nuclear Option 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 K J’s Nobility 15.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Little Menace 8.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Engage 1.80 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Smarty Jones S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Martini Blu 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lawlessness 12.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Big Thorn 4.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Caddo River 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Cowan 1.80 2.9 5-1
5 5 Hardly Swayed 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Moonlite Strike 4.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Coach Adams 10.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Bode’s Maker 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Red Again 10.00 8.3 16-1
10 7 Take Charge d’Oro 12.00 8.9 17-1
8 6 Bobby Baby 30.00 9.6 18-1
6 5 Charlie’sarchangel 5.00 10 19-1
2 2 Little No Way 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Shweet Persuasion 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Revenio 30.00 SCRATCH
13 10 Stephen’s Answer 4.00 10 19-1
12 9 Dont Tell Noobody 2.50 11.4 22-1
5 4 River Echo (GB) 3.00 12.2 23-1
14 11 Frost Or Frippery 2.00 13.6 26-1
3 2 Uphold 6.00 13.6 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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