January 22, 2021 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Come On Dover | 15.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovethatcause | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ravens Reflection | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kristo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clear the Mine | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | All Shacked Up | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Galactica | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calculated Risker | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strate Remark | 2.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tapalong | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zippy Chick | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nanabanana | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Fire | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Beauty Day | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Every Day | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justatapin | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aunt Sunshine | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluebird Day | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Warm Beauty | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ms Falsetto | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Mau Mau | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Big Biz | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Incorrigible | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Davidic Line | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | First Rate | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sharecropper | 2.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Wayne O | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jacks Fire Balls | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | My Name Is Phred | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Change Direction | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Courtney Fay | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Feminine Allure | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cyber Sneaker | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Very Spicy | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gold N Sexy | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Bling | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Five Star Moon | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Out Gold | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Sophia | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smarty’s Angel | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Springs Bling | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rachie Rach | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | My Dams Atitude | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wicked Street | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Believeinholidays | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Five O One | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alexandros | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Strolling | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s No Bull | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kowboy Karma | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tough Stuff | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | May We All | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cave Run | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | King of the Court | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Riverboat Gambler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | He’s So Zazzy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Alfred | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s Meant to Be | 6.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Chance | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tango Kilo | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Fantastic | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ardanwood | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’smyhoneybadger | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Tap | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wick | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saffa’s Day | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Saqeel | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Antigravity | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Windcracker | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rubus | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mucho | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mojo Man | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Home Base | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough Love | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nuclear Option | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K J’s Nobility | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Menace | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Engage | 1.80 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Smarty Jones S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Martini Blu | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lawlessness | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Thorn | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caddo River | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowan | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hardly Swayed | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlite Strike | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Coach Adams | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bode’s Maker | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Again | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Take Charge d’Oro | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bobby Baby | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charlie’sarchangel | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little No Way | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shweet Persuasion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Revenio | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 10 | Stephen’s Answer | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Dont Tell Noobody | 2.50 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | River Echo (GB) | 3.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Frost Or Frippery | 2.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Uphold | 6.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.