January 21, 2021 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Ekaterinoslav | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Breakin Daylight | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Oso Negro | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Money Biz | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Data Load | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Jail House | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Mayberry Saloon | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Bella Belle | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Over the Blues | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
7 | 7 | Tupelo Hon E | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Longleggedlaverne | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | Lady Kaza | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Better Biz | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Navy Regatta | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Bee Balm | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 8 | Our Slick Chick | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Katie the Cutie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
9 | 9 | Christeana’s Kiss | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Limage | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Sundereya | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Close to Me | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Malibu Moira | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Paddy O | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Melody Rose | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Beachcombing | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Chantry Flats | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | East Lex | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Spycraft | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
4 | 4 | Botswana Taps | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Lookin High | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Doodle Time | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Biarritz | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Lucky Artie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Ronnie’s Peso | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Stella’s Surprise | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
10 | 9 | Star Prado | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
9 | 8 | Love Bound | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Commercial Flash | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Sienna Breeze | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sing the Song | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Kehron’s Creed | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
7 | 7 | Mandoline Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | 11 | Musta Got Lost | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Martinized | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
13 | 12 | Your Time’s Coming | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
11 | 10 | Kamara Vision | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Moment of Stardom | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Henning | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Ballinonabudjet | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Unfathomed | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Kansas King | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Father Goose | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | K T’s Jilted Groom | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
14 | 13 | Charlie G | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
10 | 9 | Mr. Universe | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
6 | 6 | Multidimensional | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Magawildtime | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Coltonator | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
1 | 4 | Man of Honor | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | Verified | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
1A | 8 | Wandering West | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
3 | 2 | Mister K | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Lafitte’s Fleet | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
5 | 5 | Red Clay Magic | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | Kadri | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
8 | 9 | Boyfriend Material | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | More Abundance | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
7 | 6 | Freedom Factor | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Hitters Park | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
11 | 8 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Just Blaze | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
12 | 9 | Channel Won | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
4 | 3 | Spectrolite | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
2 | 1 | Bye Bye Birdstone | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
5 | 4 | Catalogue | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Hotfoot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 9 | Dream Halo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
10 | 10 | Rock On Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Baquero’s Bind | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Joemo | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Luck of the Draw | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 5 | City Park | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Drilling Report | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Silver King | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
10 | 9 | Taking Notes | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Venn | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
8 | 7 | Tensas Toddy | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Rahfees Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.