January 21, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Laughing Latinos | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
8 | 7 | Pepper Jack | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
6 | 5 | Wild Firemaker | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
3 | 3 | Putthehammerdown | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
7 | 6 | Diside | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
5 | 4 | Our Blue Jay | 3.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Daddy Cool Cat | 4.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Heather’s Request | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Fireman Sid | 30.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Runpeggyrun | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | My Little Gardner | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Siberianproduction | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Flat Out Flirty | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Song for Heddings | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Jeweled Crown | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Champagne Affair | 1.20 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 4 | Harriet’s Dream | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
4 | 3 | Girl in Black | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
8 | 7 | Exotic Town | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Bridled Up | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
3 | 2 | Zedusive | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Scampering Grayce | 1.20 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
6 | 5 | Maggie’s Return | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | T J’s Sunshine | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Twilight Glow | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Caught His Eye | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Salute Elle | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Madison’s Wild One | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Ebony Bay | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
8 | 8 | Silent Trick | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Viva Cat | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Runfastandloud | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Grand Omega | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Reece’s Priority | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Donna’s Court | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Guilty Again | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Christopher Cat | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Seeley | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Reach the Circle | 1.60 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 5 | Robber | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
6 | 4 | Too Tuff to Cry | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5 | 3 | Unbridled Pulpit | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
9 | 7 | Traelee | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | Zarb’s Pistol | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
8 | 6 | Dewey’s Little Joe | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
4 | 2 | Carries Man | 1.80 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
10 | 8 | Prince Loki | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
1 | 1 | Moonshinerboy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Moro Pharoah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Sailing Jett | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Prince Carlos | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 8 | Cherkas Bendyl | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
7 | 7 | Saint Scotty | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Mail Man Johnny | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
3 | 3 | Two Worlds | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
6 | 6 | Dried Pepper | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Tapped to the Max | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
4 | 4 | Oxbow Pioneer | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sermononthemount | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
8 | 8 | Strong Rules | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
9 | 9 | Cool Deal | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Olivia’s Duchess | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
6 | 6 | My Mallory’s On | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Chatain’s Flyer | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
3 | 3 | Catcake | 2.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
8 | 8 | Calaja | 3.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Dignityto Infinity | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
2 | 2 | Molly Golightly | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
10 | 10 | Granfathersleugirl | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Song N a Cat | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
3 | 3 | Jake the Band Man | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Tin Roof Rusted | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | Aztec Delite | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
4 | 4 | Colonel Pike | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
7 | 7 | I Rate First | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
8 | 8 | Spa Shackalacka | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
1A | 6 | Bending Saint | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
2 | 2 | Holt County | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
6 | 7 | Hollywood Square | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.