Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 21, 2021

January 21, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Laughing Latinos 10.00 1.6 3-1
8 7 Pepper Jack 2.50 7.3 14-1
6 5 Wild Firemaker 12.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Putthehammerdown 20.00 7.7 15-1
7 6 Diside 6.00 7.7 15-1
5 4 Our Blue Jay 3.50 7.8 15-1
1 1 Daddy Cool Cat 4.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Heather’s Request 5.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Fireman Sid 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Runpeggyrun 3.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 My Little Gardner 15.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Siberianproduction 12.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Flat Out Flirty 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Song for Heddings 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Jeweled Crown 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Champagne Affair 1.20 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Harriet’s Dream 3.50 1.6 3-1
4 3 Girl in Black 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Exotic Town 15.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Bridled Up 15.00 1.9 4-1
3 2 Zedusive 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Scampering Grayce 1.20 6.6 12-1
6 5 Maggie’s Return 8.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 T J’s Sunshine 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Twilight Glow 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Caught His Eye 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Salute Elle 15.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Madison’s Wild One 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ebony Bay 1.40 4.2 8-1
8 8 Silent Trick 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Viva Cat 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Runfastandloud 10.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grand Omega 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Reece’s Priority 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Donna’s Court 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 Guilty Again 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Christopher Cat 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Seeley 4.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Reach the Circle 1.60 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Robber 30.00 1.9 4-1
6 4 Too Tuff to Cry 12.00 2.3 4-1
5 3 Unbridled Pulpit 15.00 3 6-1
9 7 Traelee 5.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Zarb’s Pistol 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 6 Dewey’s Little Joe 3.50 8.5 16-1
4 2 Carries Man 1.80 9.5 18-1
10 8 Prince Loki 6.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Moonshinerboy 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Moro Pharoah 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sailing Jett 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Prince Carlos 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Cherkas Bendyl 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Saint Scotty 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Mail Man Johnny 15.00 6.6 13-1
3 3 Two Worlds 1.80 6.7 13-1
6 6 Dried Pepper 4.50 6.9 13-1
1 1 Tapped to the Max 8.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Oxbow Pioneer 15.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Sermononthemount 6.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Strong Rules 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dr. Frankie Kaye 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Cool Deal 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Olivia’s Duchess 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 My Mallory’s On 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Chatain’s Flyer 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Catcake 2.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Calaja 3.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Dignityto Infinity 8.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Molly Golightly 4.50 8.8 17-1
10 10 Granfathersleugirl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Song N a Cat 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Jake the Band Man 30.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Tin Roof Rusted 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Aztec Delite 6.00 5 9-1
4 4 Colonel Pike 1.80 5.5 10-1
7 7 I Rate First 4.50 5.6 11-1
8 8 Spa Shackalacka 15.00 6.2 12-1
1A 6 Bending Saint 10.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Holt County 2.50 8.4 16-1
6 7 Hollywood Square 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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