Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, January 20, 2021

January 20, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 El Afortunado 2.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Figo 1.60 2.7 5-1
7 7 Dropped Anchor 5.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Twelve O One 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Political Riot 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Keepyourguardup 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Neverenoughcoco 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Nothin’ Mizzen 20.00 7 13-1
4 4 Military Commander 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sweet Felicia 2.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Hardly Social 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Fior Di Latte 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Kerik 5.00 3.4 6-1
11 11 Not Tonight Bobby 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Okalani 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 10 Broadway Diva 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Mary of Scotland 20.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Dancing Empress 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Sip’n Dip 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Shine a Light 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Chocolate Bar 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Life On Top 4.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Turn of Events 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Rhythm Section 4.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Semper Fi 6.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Reckless Spirit 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Call Curt 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Well Done West 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Swing Low 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Joshy Jak 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Skywalking 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Proud Contender 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 French Affair 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Sososubtle 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Social Equality 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Alley to Calvary 3.00 3 6-1
7 5 Aloha Kitten 5.00 3.1 6-1
6 4 She Fled the Scene 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 2 Miss Wrote 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Kitten’s Romance 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Mo Me Mo My 10.00 4.6 9-1
12 10 Mercy Mercy 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 9 Tailadios 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Rooney 30.00 8.9 17-1
8 6 Majic Flash 30.00 10 19-1
2 2 Topo Grigio 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Blues Songs 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sexy Dream 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Shiny Empire 3.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Celestial Cheetah 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sunny Isle Beach 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Pretty Rachel 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Mangrove Mamma 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Happy Constitution 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mony 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Freedom Matters 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Zero Gravity 8.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Souper Watson 8.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Rhythmia 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Sir Seamus 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Dominate Themoment 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Espresso Caliente 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Florida Endeavour 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Cobb 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Foster Hope 4.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Carson City Kid 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Paladio 5.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Crazy Shot 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 El Sicario 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Heather’s Gold 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Kelleycanrun 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Come Storming 3.50 3.5 7-1
7 7 Makisupa (GB) 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Candy Flower 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Pardon My Heart 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Spin Your Partner 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Kitten’s Finest 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Twilight 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Memphis Showboat 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Obstinate 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Gypsy Wife 30.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Blakenstein 5.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Grand Union 2.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Joyful Surprise 2.50 2.9 6-1
8 7 Discreet Tune 3.50 3 6-1
9 8 Romario 12.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Fake I D 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Make a Move 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Tarquin 30.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Smarty J and B 30.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Hay Lad 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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