January 20, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | El Afortunado | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Figo | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dropped Anchor | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Twelve O One | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Political Riot | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keepyourguardup | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Neverenoughcoco | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nothin’ Mizzen | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Military Commander | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Felicia | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hardly Social | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fior Di Latte | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kerik | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Not Tonight Bobby | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Okalani | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Diva | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mary of Scotland | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Empress | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sip’n Dip | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shine a Light | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chocolate Bar | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Life On Top | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Turn of Events | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rhythm Section | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Semper Fi | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Spirit | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call Curt | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Well Done West | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Swing Low | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Joshy Jak | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skywalking | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Contender | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | French Affair | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sososubtle | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Social Equality | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Alley to Calvary | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Aloha Kitten | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | She Fled the Scene | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Wrote | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Kitten’s Romance | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mo Me Mo My | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Mercy Mercy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tailadios | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rooney | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Majic Flash | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Topo Grigio | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blues Songs | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sexy Dream | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shiny Empire | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Celestial Cheetah | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunny Isle Beach | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Rachel | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mangrove Mamma | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Constitution | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mony | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Matters | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zero Gravity | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Watson | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rhythmia | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Seamus | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dominate Themoment | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Espresso Caliente | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Florida Endeavour | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cobb | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foster Hope | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carson City Kid | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paladio | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Shot | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Sicario | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Heather’s Gold | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kelleycanrun | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Come Storming | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Makisupa (GB) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Flower | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pardon My Heart | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spin Your Partner | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Finest | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twilight | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Memphis Showboat | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Obstinate | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gypsy Wife | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Blakenstein | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grand Union | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joyful Surprise | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Discreet Tune | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Romario | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fake I D | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Make a Move | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tarquin | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smarty J and B | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hay Lad | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.