January 18, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Stretch | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Michalska | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Becca Taylor | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starlight Stroll | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Frankie | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swift Nonni | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commas Save Lives | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Mama Sue | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nolo Contesto | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mastering | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Canadian Pride | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Motown Music | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charlito | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jumping Jill Flash | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Acai | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Square | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Invincibella (GB) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Pickel | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Bubbles | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Stormborn | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ole Silver | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Capital Heat | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Concise Advice | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hallowed Gift | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Charlie | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Roar | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Victory | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tiger’s Song | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Derby War | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Landaa | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Question Authority | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bristol Bayou | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kiss and Run | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spring to Summer | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bellize | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Predictable Tully (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmic Cowgirl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Give Up | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mangotango | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m the Hero | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Girl Pearl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fabiolla (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | La V. | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lalic (FR) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wild Arch | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Horse Greedy | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Octopus | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Littlebitamedal | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oil Can Knight | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bedrock | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Satchel de Ritches | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cartellate | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Megahertz S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mucho Unusual | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sedamar | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Colonial Creed | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brooke (CHI) | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Peridot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ippodamia’s Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tejon | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Speakerofthehouse | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Western Smoke | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bam Bam Again | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Master Recovery | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bodega | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Union Leader | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Leroy Pegasus | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tromador | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suances Secret | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mount Pelliar | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greener Pastures | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Joy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Goldini | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Labor Union | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Willy the Cobbler | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sky Navigator | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zoffa | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mongolian Ford | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Special Mission | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Soulong | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sierra Pass | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sir Williams Dream | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.