Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 18, 2021

January 18, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Big Stretch 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Michalska 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Becca Taylor 2.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Starlight Stroll 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Where’s Frankie 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Swift Nonni 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Commas Save Lives 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Big Mama Sue 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nolo Contesto 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Mastering 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Canadian Pride 1.80 1.8 3-1
2 2 Motown Music 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Charlito 8.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jumping Jill Flash 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Acai 3.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Secret Square 6.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Invincibella (GB) 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Sugar Pickel 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Hello Bubbles 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Queen Stormborn 15.00 7 13-1
7 7 Ole Silver 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Capital Heat 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Concise Advice 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hallowed Gift 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Flying Charlie 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Jungle Roar 2.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Golden Victory 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Tiger’s Song 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Derby War 30.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Landaa 30.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Question Authority 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bristol Bayou 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Kiss and Run 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Spring to Summer 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Bellize 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Predictable Tully (IRE) 3.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Cosmic Cowgirl 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 I Give Up 5.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Mangotango 30.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 I’m the Hero 8.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 My Girl Pearl 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fabiolla (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 La V. 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Lalic (FR) 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wild Arch 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Horse Greedy 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Octopus 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Littlebitamedal 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Oil Can Knight 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Bedrock 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Satchel de Ritches 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Cartellate 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Megahertz S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Mucho Unusual 1.80 2.2 4-1
6 4 Sedamar 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Colonial Creed 3.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Brooke (CHI) 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Lucky Peridot 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ippodamia’s Girl 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tejon 1.80 2 4-1
6 6 Speakerofthehouse 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Western Smoke 12.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Bam Bam Again 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Master Recovery 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Bodega 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Union Leader 5.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Leroy Pegasus 20.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Tromador 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Suances Secret 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mount Pelliar 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Greener Pastures 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 El Joy 5.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Goldini 2.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Labor Union 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Willy the Cobbler 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Sky Navigator 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Zoffa 6.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Mongolian Ford 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Special Mission 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Soulong 4.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Sierra Pass 30.00 10.2 19-1
5 5 Sir Williams Dream 30.00 11.3 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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