January 18, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | There Goes My Girl | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life in Flash | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Mosey | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ridgemont High | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fed Policy | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tuxedo Lemon | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simmard Shenanigan | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tatica | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Long Distance Love | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Brandi | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Salamina | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Clau | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Egg Nog | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Helen Gibson | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keepyourskateson | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Great Go Go | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meo Desperado | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fernwood Drive | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Extra Medium | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | To the Front | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tappahannock | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Walk | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holy Saint | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tale of Dixie | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roof Top Bar | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Fire Within | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pardon the Pun | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ricky Ricky | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bourbon Agogo | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hinting | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Compass Course | 30.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nicky Bear | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Favor Maker | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo American | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Feature Act | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rip Rap Riley | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Start With Yes | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Geyser | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Quantico Kid | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Step | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Blue Danube | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spin Cycle | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cobh | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Whirlin Curlin | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Threethehardway | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iwishiwaspecial | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Proud Enough | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Uhwarrie Sky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Congress Hall | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Petes Pride | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’tbaggagecheck | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Parched Ghost | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Sides | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win Then Grin | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Splasherstown | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Documented | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drive In | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arbutus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tom Terrific | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mice and Men | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maybe Someday | 30.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bernie’s On Fire | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Redeem Eddie | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brooks Robinson | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stone Courageous | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy Shelby | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey and You | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Seven On the Rocks | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Ace Nine Nine | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Burford | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | The Circle Game | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Take the Cake | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Desbordes | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Annika Gold | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Not Joking | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Witty Banter | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mortal Storm | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Solution | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderturtle | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polished Copper | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nana’s Shoes | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rag Top | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Home Dixie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bring Me Answers | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.