Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 18, 2021

January 18, 2021 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 There Goes My Girl 30.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Life in Flash 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Holy Mosey 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Ridgemont High 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Fed Policy 2.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tuxedo Lemon 4.50 5.1 10-1
5 5 Simmard Shenanigan 1.80 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tatica 20.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Long Distance Love 10.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Irish Brandi 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Salamina 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lady Clau 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Egg Nog 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Helen Gibson 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Keepyourskateson 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Great Go Go 3.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Meo Desperado 12.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Fernwood Drive 20.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Extra Medium 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 To the Front 3.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tappahannock 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 The Walk 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Holy Saint 10.00 2.1 4-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tale of Dixie 8.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Roof Top Bar 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 The Fire Within 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Pardon the Pun 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 Ricky Ricky 20.00 2 4-1
9 9 Bourbon Agogo 10.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Hinting 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Compass Course 30.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Nicky Bear 15.00 2.4 5-1
11 11 Favor Maker 20.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Mo American 10.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Feature Act 8.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Rip Rap Riley 15.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Start With Yes 4.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Geyser 20.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 The Quantico Kid 5.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Smart Step 10.00 2 4-1
14 14 Blue Danube 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Spin Cycle 12.00 2.2 4-1
12 12 Cobh 20.00 2.5 5-1
13 13 Whirlin Curlin 5.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Threethehardway 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Iwishiwaspecial 30.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Proud Enough 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Uhwarrie Sky 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Congress Hall 3.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Petes Pride 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Don’tbaggagecheck 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Parched Ghost 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Silver Sides 20.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Win Then Grin 5.00 2 4-1
9 9 Splasherstown 15.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Documented 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Drive In 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Arbutus 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tom Terrific 12.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Mice and Men 8.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Maybe Someday 30.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Bernie’s On Fire 4.50 1.8 3-1
10 10 Redeem Eddie 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Brooks Robinson 15.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Stone Courageous 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Tommy Shelby 15.00 2 4-1
1 1 Whiskey and You 8.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Seven On the Rocks 15.00 2.4 5-1
12 12 Ace Nine Nine 15.00 2.7 5-1
11 11 Burford 30.00 2.8 5-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 The Circle Game 2.50 1.2 2-1
4 4 I’ll Take the Cake 4.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Desbordes 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Annika Gold 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 I’m Not Joking 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Witty Banter 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 7 Mortal Storm 8.00 2 4-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wicked Solution 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Thunderturtle 8.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Polished Copper 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Nana’s Shoes 1.80 1.6 3-1
4 4 Rag Top 8.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Sweet Home Dixie 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bring Me Answers 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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