Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 18, 2021

January 18, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blue Ridge Moon 12.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Circleofsoul 20.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Shanghai Hetty 10.00 2 4-1
7 7 Pump It 12.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Left of the Dial 3.50 7.1 13-1
5 5 Chief the Great 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Velvet Night 6.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Foxycall 4.50 7.4 14-1
9 9 Time for a Song 1.80 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Cajun Cash 6.00 1.5 3-1
8 7 Cajun Pinata 15.00 3 6-1
7 6 Pops Legacy 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 2 Magic Vow 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Lucky Inferno 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 3 Exton 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 4 Alex’s Turn 1.80 6.7 13-1
1 1 Lucky Andy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Sound of the Sea 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Jet Puffed 8.00 2 4-1
5 4 Big Band’s Luck 15.00 6 11-1
3 2 Subject to Call 2.50 6.3 12-1
8 7 Custom Kat 3.00 6.5 12-1
4 3 King Liam 4.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 Pretty Guilty 3.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Youcanbetonme 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lindante 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Moment 15.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Allidoisdreamofyou 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Zendelphian 4.50 5.6 11-1
7 7 I’ll Raise You 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 He’s a Lady Tamer 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Blaising Guitar 3.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 Hatties Jewel 1.80 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Goddard 10.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Zion’s Call 20.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Here Comes Magic 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Hold Tight 4.50 7 13-1
2 2 Mean Machine 1.80 7 13-1
1 1 Captain Ziggy 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Shoulda Had It 12.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Crimson Storm 6.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Race Craft 3.50 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Crafty Ike 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Lauriano 20.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 All Bizness 12.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Flat Out Love 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Zens Secret 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 End Zone 2.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Extra Dough 5.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Waterwild 8.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Halos Prayer 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Dubnation 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Diplome 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Spendaholic 3.50 10.1 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 10 Binding 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 1 Halostar 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 3 Pinch Assault 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Three Run Homer 8.00 2.6 5-1
8 9 Johnnysjourney 20.00 3 6-1
5 4 Flashing Angelbaby 6.00 3.2 6-1
1A 8 Greeley’s Dealer 2.00 3.4 7-1
1 5 Guitarzan 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Outofthisgalaxy 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Pure Valor 15.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Angelic Kriss 10.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Fickle Flash 20.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Miss Invader 10.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Wish for Interest 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Queen Shasta 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Perfect Justice 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Carletta 1.80 4.9 9-1
1 1 My Little Fire 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Top Hat Tantrum 20.00 9.9 19-1
9 9 Doeny Sparks 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gabby’s Freedom 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Don’t Look 20.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Lightning Lee 12.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Charming Bullet 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Poppi Is Smiling 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mayan Ghost 1.80 2.9 5-1
8 8 Lil Bit of Justice 12.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Racin Rocks 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Larry Dale 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Flamin Fire 4.50 6.7 13-1
1 1 Carrier Pigeon 3.50 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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