January 18, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Blue Ridge Moon | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Circleofsoul | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Shanghai Hetty | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Pump It | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Left of the Dial | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Chief the Great | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
2 | 2 | Velvet Night | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
4 | 4 | Foxycall | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
9 | 9 | Time for a Song | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Cajun Cash | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
8 | 7 | Cajun Pinata | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Pops Legacy | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 2 | Magic Vow | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
2 | 1 | Lucky Inferno | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
4 | 3 | Exton | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
5 | 4 | Alex’s Turn | 1.80 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lucky Andy | 12.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Sound of the Sea | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
6 | 5 | Jet Puffed | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 4 | Big Band’s Luck | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
3 | 2 | Subject to Call | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
8 | 7 | Custom Kat | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
4 | 3 | King Liam | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
1 | 1 | Pretty Guilty | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | Youcanbetonme | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Lindante | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Moment | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Allidoisdreamofyou | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
2 | 2 | Zendelphian | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | I’ll Raise You | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
8 | 8 | Blaising Guitar | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
3 | 3 | Hatties Jewel | 1.80 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Goddard | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Zion’s Call | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Here Comes Magic | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Hold Tight | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
2 | 2 | Mean Machine | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Captain Ziggy | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Shoulda Had It | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | Crimson Storm | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
9 | 9 | Race Craft | 3.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | 7 | Crafty Ike | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Lauriano | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | All Bizness | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
10 | 9 | Flat Out Love | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Zens Secret | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
7 | 6 | End Zone | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Extra Dough | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
1 | 1 | Waterwild | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
6 | 6 | Halos Prayer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Dubnation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
12 | 12 | Diplome | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
9 | 8 | Spendaholic | 3.50 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 10 | Binding | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
2 | 1 | Halostar | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
4 | 3 | Pinch Assault | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Three Run Homer | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
8 | 9 | Johnnysjourney | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 4 | Flashing Angelbaby | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
1A | 8 | Greeley’s Dealer | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
1 | 5 | Guitarzan | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 2 | Outofthisgalaxy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Pure Valor | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 9 | Angelic Kriss | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
8 | 8 | Fickle Flash | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
7 | 7 | Miss Invader | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Wish for Interest | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | Queen Shasta | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Perfect Justice | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
6 | 6 | Carletta | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | My Little Fire | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Top Hat Tantrum | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
9 | 9 | Doeny Sparks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 11 | Gabby’s Freedom | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Don’t Look | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
10 | 10 | Lightning Lee | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Charming Bullet | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Poppi Is Smiling | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Mayan Ghost | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Lil Bit of Justice | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Racin Rocks | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Larry Dale | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
9 | 9 | Flamin Fire | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
1 | 1 | Carrier Pigeon | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.