January 17, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Vronsky Zips Away | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rockie Causeway | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ray Ray Is Gone | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Elgofranco | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Rose | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Spanish Channel | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella D | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Verry Bossy | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Badger Gal | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Little Miss Belle | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fierce Kitty | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rays Darlinkle | 50.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Majestic Diva | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Destiny’s Journey | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lulumaru | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Tea All Shade | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Girona | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Miss You Mom | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Senoradiablo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Avalon Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rager | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Prince | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bench Judge | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gate Speed | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juggles | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Chance | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Invictatatus | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ed Gatty | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kennebec | 0.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Short Rib | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Kristin | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paisano | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Broken Finger | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleet Roy | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Orb | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Metal | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Clare | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Delta Wind | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Beauty | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Little Tiger | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Disko Fever | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sunshine Babe | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Here Comes Ralphie | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Military Princess | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annie Graham | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Hung Jury | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gates of Heaven | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncle Boogie | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cojo | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Western Rule | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wedding Groom | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love My Jimmy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Astra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Quick (GB) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ms Peintour | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Lubie | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hermaphrodite (FR) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Altea (FR) | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Addie Pray | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avenue de France (FR) | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Peridot | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carpe Vinum | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | As Time Goes By | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | This Tea | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Megan | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paid Informant | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paige Runner | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matera | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Croi Mor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Commanding Chief | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fire Polish | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Direct Line | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leme At Em | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Kingdom | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Witch’s Vow | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Indy | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Afleeting Life | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Silent Musketier | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Dreamin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Infatuate | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.