January 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Eclipticals Carol | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bettabe Swift | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Secret | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dispense | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Dame | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bahamian Rhapsody | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Queen Calypso | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alexandra Am I | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sister Is Devil | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gone Dreaming | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prize Portrait | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Swirling Wine | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Pitufina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Greata | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chamberlain | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Poppy’s Prize | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Enano Astray | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Realtor Danny D | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reaction Time | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Debbie’s Road | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pachanga Patrol | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Capture the Crown | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | High Tide | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Templet | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gunman | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colliery | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mauro’s Team | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kaliningrad | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Georgia Pines | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beasaichi | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dont Get Smart | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cat’s J N J | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Create a Story | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Fraction | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vuyelwa | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soothing | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charlotte the Brit | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Akor | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tony’s Rose | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proper Manners | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mrs. Maisel | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ms Headley | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Tunes | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Play That Tone | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Montana Pretty | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Heart | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms V Time | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yes It’s Free | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Snackster | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vegas Weekend | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Air Cavalry | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hashtag Lucky | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Convict Pike | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Juan Pablo | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Traffic Pattern | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Time for Trouble | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Good Man | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Positive Phil | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Man Bob | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Memorable | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mason’s Song | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Buffalo Max | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hero Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nacho Papa | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Getting Over Me | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pro Quality | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charlie the Greek | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plato | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Totono | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dark Ages | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | High Five Cotton | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Zanno | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Balistico | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kyle | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Macho Blue | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Nicholas Rose | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Station Rock | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tale of Kantharos | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Weekend Dreamer | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | R Man Joe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Impeccable Style | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Katz a Dream | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Heiressindy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Betty | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bachelor’s Bait | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Storie Blue | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hallawallah | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Extra Effort | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mylastfirstkiss | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Erv’s Wench | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bohemian Boy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Eamonn | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Straight Up Guy | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Golden Fiddle | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Not Stormy | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Exponential | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oxfire | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Great Oz | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Go Speed Racer Go | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Superposition | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gandolfo | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lord Flintshire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | High Yield Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Proven Innocent | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Carrobio | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | William Boy | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.