Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, January 17, 2021

January 17, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Eclipticals Carol 4.50 2.6 5-1
11 11 Bettabe Swift 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Classic Secret 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Dispense 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 La Dame 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Bahamian Rhapsody 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Queen Calypso 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Alexandra Am I 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Sister Is Devil 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Gone Dreaming 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Prize Portrait 20.00 7.9 15-1
13 13 Swirling Wine 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Pitufina 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Greata 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Chamberlain 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Poppy’s Prize 2.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Enano Astray 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Realtor Danny D 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Reaction Time 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Debbie’s Road 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Pachanga Patrol 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Capture the Crown 30.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 High Tide 1.40 2.2 4-1
6 6 Templet 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Gunman 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Colliery 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Mauro’s Team 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Kaliningrad 15.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Georgia Pines 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beasaichi 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Dont Get Smart 5.00 3 6-1
6 6 Cat’s J N J 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Create a Story 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Fast Fraction 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Vuyelwa 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Soothing 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Charlotte the Brit 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Akor 2.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Tony’s Rose 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Proper Manners 4.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Mrs. Maisel 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Ms Headley 10.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Silver Tunes 15.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Play That Tone 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Montana Pretty 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Uncaptured Heart 3.00 2 4-1
8 8 Ms V Time 6.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Yes It’s Free 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Snackster 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Vegas Weekend 3.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Air Cavalry 10.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Hashtag Lucky 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Convict Pike 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Juan Pablo 4.00 3 6-1
11 10 Traffic Pattern 2.00 4 8-1
7 6 Time for Trouble 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 My Good Man 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Positive Phil 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Big Man Bob 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Memorable 15.00 6.4 12-1
2 1 Mason’s Song 30.00 8.1 15-1
9 8 Buffalo Max 30.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Hero Up 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nacho Papa 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 No Getting Over Me 4.50 3.2 6-1
2 2 Pro Quality 3.50 3.4 6-1
8 7 Charlie the Greek 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Plato 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Totono 20.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Dark Ages 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 High Five Cotton 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Zanno 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Balistico 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Kyle 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 1 Macho Blue 4.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Nicholas Rose 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Station Rock 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 2 Tale of Kantharos 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 6 Weekend Dreamer 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 R Man Joe 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Impeccable Style 3.00 3.2 6-1
9 8 Katz a Dream 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 1 Heiressindy 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Princess Betty 3.50 4 7-1
3 2 Bachelor’s Bait 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Storie Blue 12.00 6 11-1
5 4 Hallawallah 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 Extra Effort 15.00 6.9 13-1
8 7 Mylastfirstkiss 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Erv’s Wench 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bohemian Boy 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Eamonn 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Straight Up Guy 6.00 3.7 7-1
13 12 Golden Fiddle 8.00 4 8-1
12 11 Not Stormy 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Exponential 4.50 4.7 9-1
8 7 Oxfire 15.00 5.9 11-1
11 10 The Great Oz 10.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Go Speed Racer Go 15.00 6.8 13-1
10 9 Superposition 20.00 8.6 16-1
7 6 Gandolfo 20.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Lord Flintshire 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 High Yield Kitten 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Proven Innocent 2.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Carrobio 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 William Boy 30.00 10.8 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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