Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 16, 2021

January 16, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 I Wonder 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Ghostly Beauty 3.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Freddymo Factor 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Positive Skew 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Stormy Derby Day 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Glorious Gal 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Twilight Galaxy 15.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Jimmyssmokedcarrot 12.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Boatloadofnerve 20.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Alley to Calvary 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mercy Mercy 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Tailadios 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Rooney 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Over There 20.00 10.4 20-1
3 3 Capeline 30.00 11.3 21-1
2 2 Cactus Kitten 30.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Well Shes Handsome 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Cave Creek 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Between Dreams 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Pretzel 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Bella Gabriella 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Lady Tapatia 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Run Silent 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Queen Ashy Baby 20.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Dance for the Sun 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 It’s a Risk 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Friendly Fella 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Moon Pistol 4.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Flaming Hot 5.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Franco’s Team 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Successful Roman 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Textpectation 20.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Mr. Cesco 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lucky Law (IRE) 2.50 1.3 2-1
2 2 Courageously 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Performing Arts 4.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Street Ruckus 5.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Twice as Smart 8.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Alexander Valley 8.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Irishman 15.00 7.1 14-1
1 1 Declareatruce 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Thruster 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Cellist 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Time’s On My Side 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Yellowstone Girl 3.00 3 6-1
8 8 Strong Azteca 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Pink Fizz 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 She’s Classy 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Nicole Princess 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Greenwood Drive 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Heart of God 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Pandorica 30.00 8 15-1
10 10 Silent Sparkle 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rockstar Ro 1.60 2.3 4-1
8 7 Candy Jar 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 5 Comedy Town 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Jerry’s Turn 10.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Loyal Louie 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Si Como No 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Coach Paul 20.00 7 13-1
5 5 Equuleus 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Shaftesbury 4.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Conrad the Red 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Everesting 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Hard Knocking 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 He’spuregold 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Hey Padre 8.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Cambi Lion 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Annex 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Speight and Malice 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Bottom Deck 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sunshine Filly And Mare Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Bienville Street 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 2 Sun Summers 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 1 Kelsey’s Cross 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 4 Sugar Fix 2.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Mo of the West 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 5 Lovely Luvy 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 3 Lookinlikeaqueen 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Heiressindy 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Ceci Valentina 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sunshine Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Red Crescent 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Noble Drama 1.40 2.5 5-1
4 3 Roman Empire 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Last Judgment 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Quenane 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Kaufy Bean 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Scar 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sunshine Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Souper Stonehenge 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Extravagant Kid 1.40 2.8 5-1
8 7 Jackson 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 Inter Miami 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 With Verve 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Legal Deal 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Old Time Revival 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Cajun Brother 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Heiressall 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sunshine Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Venezuelan Hug 3.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Shamrocket 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Proven Strategies 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Second Mate 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Monforte 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Galleon Mast 10.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Clear Destination 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Max K. O. 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Over the Channel 12.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Another 4.00 3 6-1
9 8 Donji 4.50 3.1 6-1
8 7 Keep Quiet (FR) 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 9 Sniper Kitten 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 National Honor 6.00 4.9 9-1
13 12 Battle of Blenheim 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 The Mighty Judge 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 4 Toughest ‘Ombre 15.00 7.3 14-1
6 5 Speed Franco 12.00 7.9 15-1
7 6 Basha 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Totono 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Devoted Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Projected (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Il Faraone 12.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Lauderdale 30.00 10.6 20-1
12 11 Uncle Curly 30.00 12.7 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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