January 16, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | I Wonder | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ghostly Beauty | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
12 | 12 | Freddymo Factor | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Positive Skew | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Stormy Derby Day | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Glorious Gal | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Twilight Galaxy | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
11 | 11 | Jimmyssmokedcarrot | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
4 | 4 | Boatloadofnerve | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
13 | 13 | Alley to Calvary | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Mercy Mercy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Tailadios | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Rooney | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Miss Over There | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
3 | 3 | Capeline | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
2 | 2 | Cactus Kitten | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Well Shes Handsome | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Cave Creek | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Between Dreams | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
8 | 8 | Pretzel | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Bella Gabriella | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
4 | 4 | Lady Tapatia | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Run Silent | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
3 | 3 | Queen Ashy Baby | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
9 | 9 | Dance for the Sun | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | It’s a Risk | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Friendly Fella | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Moon Pistol | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Flaming Hot | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Franco’s Team | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
8 | 8 | Successful Roman | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Textpectation | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
1 | 1 | Mr. Cesco | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Lucky Law (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
2 | 2 | Courageously | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
7 | 7 | Performing Arts | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Street Ruckus | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Twice as Smart | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
10 | 10 | Alexander Valley | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Irishman | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 |
1 | 1 | Declareatruce | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
8 | 8 | Thruster | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
9 | 9 | Cellist | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Time’s On My Side | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Yellowstone Girl | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 8 | Strong Azteca | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
7 | 7 | Pink Fizz | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
6 | 6 | She’s Classy | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Nicole Princess | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Greenwood Drive | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Heart of God | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
4 | 4 | Pandorica | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
10 | 10 | Silent Sparkle | 2.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Rockstar Ro | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
8 | 7 | Candy Jar | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Comedy Town | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
3 | 3 | Jerry’s Turn | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | Loyal Louie | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Si Como No | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | Coach Paul | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
5 | 5 | Equuleus | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Shaftesbury | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Conrad the Red | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Everesting | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Hard Knocking | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | He’spuregold | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
2 | 2 | Hey Padre | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
10 | 10 | Cambi Lion | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Annex | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Speight and Malice | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
6 | 6 | Bottom Deck | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sunshine Filly And Mare Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 7 | Bienville Street | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 2 | Sun Summers | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 1 | Kelsey’s Cross | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 4 | Sugar Fix | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 6 | Mo of the West | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
7 | 5 | Lovely Luvy | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
5 | 3 | Lookinlikeaqueen | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
1 | 1 | Heiressindy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Ceci Valentina | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Sunshine Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Red Crescent | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
1 | 1 | Noble Drama | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
4 | 3 | Roman Empire | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Last Judgment | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Quenane | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Kaufy Bean | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Scar | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Sunshine Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Souper Stonehenge | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
5 | 5 | Extravagant Kid | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
8 | 7 | Jackson | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
9 | 8 | Inter Miami | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
2 | 2 | With Verve | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Legal Deal | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
1 | 1 | Old Time Revival | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
7 | 6 | Cajun Brother | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
6 | 6 | Heiressall | 20.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Sunshine Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | 9 | Venezuelan Hug | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Shamrocket | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
2 | 2 | Proven Strategies | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Second Mate | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Monforte | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Galleon Mast | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
8 | 8 | Clear Destination | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
7 | 7 | Max K. O. | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
5 | 5 | Over the Channel | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Another | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
9 | 8 | Donji | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Keep Quiet (FR) | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
10 | 9 | Sniper Kitten | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
1 | 1 | National Honor | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
13 | 12 | Battle of Blenheim | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
2 | 2 | The Mighty Judge | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
5 | 4 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
6 | 5 | Speed Franco | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
7 | 6 | Basha | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
4 | 4 | Totono | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
14 | 14 | Devoted Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
15 | 15 | Projected (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
16 | 16 | Il Faraone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
11 | 10 | Lauderdale | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
12 | 11 | Uncle Curly | 30.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.