January 15, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Amiko Chow (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Acoustic Shadow | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Olive You More | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin So Lucky | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Go Now | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbreakable | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nicole Grace | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alvaaro | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Signofthecross | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stackin Silver | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Polar Wind | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Causeididitmyway | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sky Confidential | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Fat Stacks | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Luvluv | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lil Richards Bello | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beaudacious | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Squared Straight | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zero Down | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bang for Your Buck | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Arrivederci Roma | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fly Buddy Fly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Peedie | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Crankin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Clutch | 50.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | August Indy | 50.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Concert Tour | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Impossible | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hozier | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sensemaker | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tarvi | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Space Odessey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mischiffie (IRE) | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Posit | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Kid | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy Gal | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Devils Dance | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Naansense | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Bonnie Lass | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keep Dancing | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gotta Be Lucky | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moreavino | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blazinonbayou | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Keep It Classy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sombeyay | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Plus | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ohio (BRZ) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Black Album (FR) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musawaat (GB) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Manhattan Up | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gryffindor | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blame It On Kitty | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Shane Zain | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rideo | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Six Point Rack | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Will Dancer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maxinamillion | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vodka Twist | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | R Cha Cha | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Fury | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bitter Ring Home | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Debt Monger | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.