Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 15, 2021

January 15, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Sadio 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 7 Try Me 4.00 3.4 7-1
6 4 Awesome Beach 2.50 3.5 7-1
2 1 Big Cypress 12.00 6.3 12-1
5 3 Mindship Q 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Prince Triton 20.00 7.9 15-1
12 9 True Identity 20.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Chucky 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Con Permiso 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Tale the Country 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 You’re All Right 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Champion Up 8.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Trinni Light 30.00 10.9 21-1
11 8 Globaltroublecoco 30.00 10.9 21-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Augusta Melody 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Gimme Some Mo 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 6 The Angry Man 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Favored 8.00 3 6-1
8 7 Oran 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Small Talk 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Light Cruiser 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Maker of an Empire 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Colliery 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bacchanalia 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Ask Bailey 2.50 2.4 4-1
3 3 Choate Bridge 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Victory Crusade 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 No Way Jose (IRE) 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Oceans of Love 8.00 5 10-1
4 4 Nomizar 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nimble Beast 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 One Eyed Jack 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tiz Light the Way 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Ultraconfident 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Churchills Victory 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Neverstopdreaming 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ranger Up 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Big Treasure 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Conventionalwisdom 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Munnyfor Ro 4.50 2.2 4-1
11 11 Brynbella 4.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Very Savvy 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Backspark 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Bertrada 8.00 4.2 8-1
13 12 Irazu 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Frankie’s Girl 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Winter Princess 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Panotti 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Por Que No 20.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 She’s a Bold One 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Careless Heiress 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Deraldine 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Nocturnal 1.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 Bold Agenda 3.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Brazillionaire 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Or’effice 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Imperial Conflict 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 No More Business 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Ghostlore 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Egyptologist 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Patriot Game 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Fightress 2.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Subsidiary 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Sweetly Maid 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Got Glee 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Bright Venezuelan 3.50 2.9 6-1
5 5 Afficionado (FR) 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Not Nice 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Galit Jak 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Katniss Kan 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Flying Sofia 5.00 4 8-1
10 9 Lalali 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Leo’s Diamond 4.00 5.2 10-1
11 10 Dinner At Five 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Twinkiesandturnips 10.00 5.5 10-1
13 12 Takestwotowiggle 10.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Mystic Comin Home 15.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Beautiful Rosie 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Beasaichi 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Gravel Gertie 10.00 SCRATCH
9 8 My Little Johara 30.00 11.6 22-1
4 3 Shellphone 30.00 12.1 23-1
1 1 Delta Hutch 30.00 12.7 24-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Long Beach Kid 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Mister Leonardo 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Texas Rule 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Uncle Fun 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Go Mike 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Shang’s Sister 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Cowardly Act 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Coalition Building 3.00 2 4-1
12 11 Ocean Air 6.00 2.4 5-1
10 9 Take Charge Ro 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 L’Indiscret 4.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Spungie 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Star Command 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 10 My Happy Girl 15.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Lady Rosalie (IRE) 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Coastana 20.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Tizemotionalgold 20.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Saturday Sun 30.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Boxer Rebellion 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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