January 14, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Power Serve | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jr’s Sauvage | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Six Grand | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Tribute | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lil Bit of Justice | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Last Nite Out | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | And Yet Another | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buy In | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ch Bern | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Highly Centsable | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sent’s Galaxy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shot On Windy Hill | 2.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Angel Cat | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nana’s Joy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Star Gaze | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honest Woman | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Memory Magic | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Customs in Dixie | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Ocean Express | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Anotherinthefire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Takenforgranted | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Sum | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tensas Sunday | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Apriority Girl | 3.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carols Cupcake | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fortheloveoflucy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Audacious Girl | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Back Inthat Action | 4.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Pike | 15.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Zedusive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Julio Choice | 1.80 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Arctic Rose | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Top Draw | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Frank the Mayor | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Liken It | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Thirst | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Charlies Ticket | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Langs Day | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flatout Winner | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 6 | Dynamo Kid | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Little Adrian | 15.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Star Rocket | 30.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Larry Dale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Little Wise Guy | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cape Town Willy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Paint I Ain’t | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Common Law Cat | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nine Shots | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dracarys Fire | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Katama Bay | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Closing American | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Smack | 1.40 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Krisynsarasboy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Drewsizzle | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diplomatic Shaft | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Theboyzhour | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mr Red Sensation | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Talkothtown | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steppin’ Outonher | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | So Sorry Ruston | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bet Again | 5.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bajan Cash | 1.80 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweeping Edge | 4.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Miss Jenny’s Halo | 30.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dodger | 2.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Kinlee’s Song | 1.80 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Muffin Nuts | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saber Run | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andiamo Giacomo | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smooth Current | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Baudette Blizzard | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Black Sword | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Callinginthenight | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hopeitsamiracle | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jewels of Sorce | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ladygogently | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Love and Lemons | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Harper Bee | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amelia Madelyn | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kaydees in Town | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Becca’s Whisper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Laneys Love | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dixieland Flash | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brew Casa | 1.80 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Marquee Moment | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Berwyn | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sister Secret Lee | 15.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | My Little Fanny | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Talking Holy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hillhidollaryankee | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cherokeetin Xpress | 2.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bear Tooth Pass | 4.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Be a Bandit | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tenacious Faith | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jo Jo’s Halo | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | We Can Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.