Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, January 14, 2021

January 14, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Power Serve 8.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Jr’s Sauvage 20.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Six Grand 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Grand Tribute 15.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Lil Bit of Justice 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Last Nite Out 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 And Yet Another 20.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Buy In 8.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Ch Bern 3.50 8.3 16-1
8 8 Highly Centsable 6.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 Sent’s Galaxy 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shot On Windy Hill 2.50 10.6 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Angel Cat 15.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Nana’s Joy 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Star Gaze 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Honest Woman 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Memory Magic 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Customs in Dixie 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Miss Ocean Express 1.60 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Anotherinthefire 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Takenforgranted 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sky Sum 20.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Tensas Sunday 20.00 2.2 4-1
10 10 Apriority Girl 3.50 8.7 16-1
1 1 Carols Cupcake 10.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Fortheloveoflucy 15.00 9 17-1
4 4 Audacious Girl 15.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Back Inthat Action 4.50 9.2 17-1
8 8 Fort Pike 15.00 9.2 17-1
11 11 Zedusive 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Julio Choice 1.80 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 9 Arctic Rose 3.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Top Draw 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 8 Frank the Mayor 3.00 3 6-1
6 7 Liken It 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Bold Thirst 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Charlies Ticket 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Langs Day 8.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Flatout Winner 4.50 5.5 10-1
1A 6 Dynamo Kid 8.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 My Little Adrian 15.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Star Rocket 30.00 2.6 5-1
12 12 Larry Dale 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Little Wise Guy 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Cape Town Willy 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Paint I Ain’t 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Common Law Cat 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Nine Shots 20.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Dracarys Fire 8.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Katama Bay 4.50 7.5 14-1
7 7 Closing American 8.00 8 15-1
1 1 Sir Smack 1.40 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Krisynsarasboy 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mr. Bandini’s Band 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Drewsizzle 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Diplomatic Shaft 12.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Theboyzhour 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mr Red Sensation 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Talkothtown 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Steppin’ Outonher 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 So Sorry Ruston 20.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Bet Again 5.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Bajan Cash 1.80 9.5 18-1
1 1 Sweeping Edge 4.00 9.7 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss Jenny’s Halo 30.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Dodger 2.50 7.6 14-1
1 2 Kinlee’s Song 1.80 7.7 15-1
3 3 Muffin Nuts 8.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Saber Run 12.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Andiamo Giacomo 5.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Smooth Current 20.00 8 15-1
1A 5 Baudette Blizzard 1.80 SCRATCH
2 1 Black Sword 10.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 Callinginthenight 8.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hopeitsamiracle 12.00 2 4-1
12 12 Jewels of Sorce 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Ladygogently 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Love and Lemons 10.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Harper Bee 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Amelia Madelyn 8.00 6 11-1
2 2 Kaydees in Town 20.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Becca’s Whisper 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Laneys Love 5.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Dixieland Flash 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Brew Casa 1.80 8.1 15-1
8 8 Marquee Moment 4.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Berwyn 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sister Secret Lee 15.00 1.6 3-1
9 8 My Little Fanny 15.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Talking Holy 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hillhidollaryankee 15.00 2 4-1
7 6 Cherokeetin Xpress 2.50 8.5 16-1
6 5 Bear Tooth Pass 4.50 8.9 17-1
5 4 Be a Bandit 20.00 9.3 18-1
8 7 Ellie’s a Wildcat 8.00 9.5 18-1
4 3 Tenacious Faith 3.50 9.9 19-1
10 9 Jo Jo’s Halo 15.00 10.5 20-1
11 11 We Can Dream 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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