Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, January 12, 2021

January 12, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Major Freak 20.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Porque Si 12.00 1.8 3-1
9 9 Grover Capote 8.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Gotta A. P. B. 10.00 9.4 18-1
2 2 Dit 12.00 9.6 18-1
8 8 Favorite Son 2.00 9.8 18-1
7 7 Good Air 20.00 9.8 19-1
10 10 Gaspergou 4.50 9.9 19-1
5 5 Bubba Smack 10.00 10 19-1
11 11 Tincan Man 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sound of the Sea 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Bourbon Revenge 3.50 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Jewel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Non Binding 12.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Australasia 0.80 1.6 3-1
5 5 Streamer 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tecate Time 5.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Inawic 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Taylor Avenue 3.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hong Kong Strong 10.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Alhambra Palace 15.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Isolation 12.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Building Home 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 Midnight Trip 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 8 Sweet Pinot 30.00 2.2 4-1
10 9 Fasthappy 2.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Maggie’s Return 5.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Track Smart 3.50 9.2 17-1
7 7 Theboyztap 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Katie’s Cruise 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blazin’ Asian 1.80 2.2 4-1
8 8 Palmy Sundae 12.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Homeland Messa 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 D’rock 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Victory Trip 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Leo Del Reo 4.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Aw Ite 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Huffs Taz a Boo 5.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Shelby To 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Limitless Mazie 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Broke and Praying 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Runpeggyrun 1.60 5.2 10-1
3 3 Clocked in Tyme 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Racelynn 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Caged Bear 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Magnolia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smok’n Rita 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Steph’sfullasugar 1.20 2 4-1
3 3 Sebs Princess 10.00 2 4-1
2 2 Southern Liaison 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sarah’s Passion 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Saints N Muskets 4.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Kai Baby Kai 8.00 1.9 4-1
6 5 Titanium Pledge 12.00 2.6 5-1
9 8 Calculate 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Last Battle 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 7 Muscadine 1.80 3.4 6-1
7 6 Mr Leo 10.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Irish Expectations 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 High Cruise 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Cheeseburger 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Applewood 12.00 2 4-1
2 2 Double Cool 20.00 2 4-1
8 8 Krafty Boy 3.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 When I Do 20.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Why God 4.00 3.8 7-1
10 9 Mistake Present 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Zing Zang 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Always a Catch 12.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Apalachee Bay 1.80 9 17-1
9 9 Soldiers Letter 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Thetrashmanscoming 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Maiden Rock 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Sweet Shelia 12.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Lil Hot Toddy 15.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Us Second Cute Pie 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Faith and Fire 15.00 2 4-1
10 10 Redheaded Cricket 20.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Ours Forever 5.00 9.1 17-1
9 9 Ruby Stiletto 20.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Laoban Furen 3.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Classy Sassy Lady 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Candy’s Parade 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Shacks River 2.00 10 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement providesĀ no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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