January 12, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Major Freak | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Porque Si | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grover Capote | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotta A. P. B. | 10.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dit | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Favorite Son | 2.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good Air | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gaspergou | 4.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bubba Smack | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tincan Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sound of the Sea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Revenge | 3.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Jewel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Non Binding | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Australasia | 0.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streamer | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tecate Time | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inawic | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taylor Avenue | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hong Kong Strong | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alhambra Palace | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Isolation | 12.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Building Home | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Trip | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sweet Pinot | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fasthappy | 2.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maggie’s Return | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Track Smart | 3.50 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Theboyztap | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Katie’s Cruise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blazin’ Asian | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Palmy Sundae | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Homeland Messa | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’rock | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Victory Trip | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leo Del Reo | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aw Ite | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Shelby To | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Limitless Mazie | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Broke and Praying | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Runpeggyrun | 1.60 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clocked in Tyme | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racelynn | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Caged Bear | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Magnolia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smok’n Rita | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steph’sfullasugar | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sebs Princess | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Liaison | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Passion | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saints N Muskets | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Kai Baby Kai | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Titanium Pledge | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Calculate | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last Battle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Muscadine | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr Leo | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Irish Expectations | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Cruise | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cheeseburger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Applewood | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Cool | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Krafty Boy | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | When I Do | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Why God | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mistake Present | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zing Zang | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Always a Catch | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Apalachee Bay | 1.80 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Soldiers Letter | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Thetrashmanscoming | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maiden Rock | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Shelia | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Hot Toddy | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Us Second Cute Pie | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faith and Fire | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Redheaded Cricket | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ours Forever | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ruby Stiletto | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laoban Furen | 3.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Classy Sassy Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Candy’s Parade | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shacks River | 2.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.