Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 11, 2021

January 11, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Armed Missile 12.00 3.4 6-1
10 8 Sofia Kape 20.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 Te Na Na 20.00 7.4 14-1
3 2 Cabo Sunset 5.00 7.5 14-1
6 5 Dynamic Julie 20.00 8.1 15-1
7 6 Spanish Exchange 6.00 8.1 15-1
5 4 Streettalkinhottie 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 1 Sweet Perfection 3.50 9.9 19-1
1 1 Songs Discreet Cat 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Chicken Or the Egg 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Swanee Beach 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 We Can Dream 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Legacy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Drewhustle 6.00 1.6 3-1
7 6 Wise Anchor 10.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Morricone 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Standing Perfect 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Foolish Dreams 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Chu Chu’s Legacy 1.40 5.8 11-1
2 2 Cohere 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Outcashed 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Aligned Interest 15.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Justa Swinging 12.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Courageous Is Back 8.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Touchdown Joe 15.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Jays Riverwrangler 10.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Floor General 3.50 6.7 13-1
2 2 Chinese Bandit 6.00 7 13-1
4 4 Gimmeasound 4.50 7.2 14-1
7 7 Sarah’s Vision 2.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Interatifwithleu 20.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bigjim’s Silvergal 5.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Linda’s Legacy 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Suspect the Worst 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Hanging Lake 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Able Catch 10.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Rose Runner 12.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Decadent Diamond 8.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Alys Episode 12.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 She’s the Boss 3.50 9.4 18-1
11 11 Viking Voyage 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Guilty Confession 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Coco’s Man 12.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Cyber Gun 20.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Obstructed View 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Gottatakehimto 10.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Egeauxtism 8.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Hope for Change 20.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Hard Twist 2.00 7.9 15-1
9 9 Dusty Boy 3.50 8 15-1
1 1 Double Priority 5.00 8 15-1
8 8 Shack Partout 8.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Da Due Run Run 20.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Green Monster 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Seven Jewels 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 My Little Jen 10.00 2 4-1
8 8 The Complete Court 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Laurieann 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Ashley’s New Shoes 1.80 4.5 9-1
3 3 Saber Cut 3.50 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Grillin 4.00 0.7 1-1
2 2 Matt’s Pride 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Majestic Edge 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Shesthecatsmeow 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Hurricane Tizway 15.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Golden Bet 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Starbuck Luck 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Sassy Kenzie Girl 8.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Wild Mallory 2.50 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Daddy Jose 10.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 J C’s in Town 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Far Out Time 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Imdusty 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Broad Decision 2.50 6.3 12-1
7 7 Shae’s Day 10.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 A Little Risky 3.50 6.7 13-1
10 10 Now You Rules 4.50 7.2 14-1
8 8 Midnight Bayou 15.00 7.8 15-1
6 6 Rockinthered 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mystery Star 8.00 1.3 3-1
5 5 Romantic Beast 8.00 1.5 3-1
9 8 Witchy Devil 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tweetie 12.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Kellys the Boss 15.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Kleinmeister 3.00 1.9 4-1
10 8 A Wish for Madelyn 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 7 Senorita Tsunami 15.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Go Figure 1.80 9.7 18-1
7 7 My Little Anita 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Audacious Girl 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Julio Choice 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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