January 11, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Armed Missile | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sofia Kape | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Te Na Na | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cabo Sunset | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dynamic Julie | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spanish Exchange | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Streettalkinhottie | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Perfection | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Songs Discreet Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Chicken Or the Egg | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Swanee Beach | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | We Can Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisiana Legacy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Drewhustle | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wise Anchor | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Morricone | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Standing Perfect | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foolish Dreams | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chu Chu’s Legacy | 1.40 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cohere | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outcashed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Aligned Interest | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justa Swinging | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Is Back | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Touchdown Joe | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jays Riverwrangler | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Floor General | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chinese Bandit | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gimmeasound | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sarah’s Vision | 2.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Interatifwithleu | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bigjim’s Silvergal | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Linda’s Legacy | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suspect the Worst | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hanging Lake | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Able Catch | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Runner | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Decadent Diamond | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alys Episode | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She’s the Boss | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Viking Voyage | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Guilty Confession | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Coco’s Man | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cyber Gun | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Obstructed View | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gottatakehimto | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Egeauxtism | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hope for Change | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Twist | 2.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dusty Boy | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Double Priority | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shack Partout | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Da Due Run Run | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Monster | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Jewels | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Jen | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Complete Court | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Laurieann | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ashley’s New Shoes | 1.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saber Cut | 3.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grillin | 4.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Matt’s Pride | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majestic Edge | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shesthecatsmeow | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Tizway | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Bet | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starbuck Luck | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sassy Kenzie Girl | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wild Mallory | 2.50 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Daddy Jose | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J C’s in Town | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Far Out Time | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Imdusty | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Broad Decision | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shae’s Day | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Little Risky | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Now You Rules | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Bayou | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockinthered | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mystery Star | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Beast | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Witchy Devil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tweetie | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kellys the Boss | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kleinmeister | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | A Wish for Madelyn | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Senorita Tsunami | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Go Figure | 1.80 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Anita | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Audacious Girl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Julio Choice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.