Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, January 9, 2021

January 9, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Comradery (IRE) 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Gregdar 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Rip City 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Striking a Pose 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Mantra 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Starting Over 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Lane Way 3.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Liberal (IRE) 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Anna Fantastic 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 4 Cheap Cheap Cheap 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 No Cover Charge 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Time for Ebby 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Fursace 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 She’s a Dime 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Hot On the Trail 20.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rose’s Crystal 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Starship Sky 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Slew South 4.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Win Like Coach P 8.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Phoenix Tears 6.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Aristeia 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Ultimate Hy 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Livin’ At the Bu 10.00 7 13-1
8 8 Shez Our Arch 12.00 8.3 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Jan Jan Can 3.50 3.5 7-1
12 8 Sweet Sonny 2.50 4.3 8-1
5 3 Gemma Royal 10.00 5.3 10-1
13 9 Majestic Mountain 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 4 Wicks and Chappies 2.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 A J Rock 6.00 6.3 12-1
10 7 Haute Time 10.00 7.8 15-1
8 5 Sugar Moon 30.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Watch the Fed 0.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Verry Bossy 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 It’s a Riddle 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Flashy Pass 12.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Turkish Angel 50.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Star of Africa 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Zucchera 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Cover Version 4.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Invincibella (GB) 4.00 4 8-1
8 7 Cowboys Daughter 20.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 La Gata Elegante 15.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Gallantlystreaming (IRE) 30.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Listen to Blue 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Theluteismine 3.00 3.8 7-1
10 8 Rest Easy Two Four 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Brananx 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Big Discount 8.00 6.1 11-1
12 10 Ben’s a Goalie 5.00 6.7 13-1
4 3 The Roan Ranger 15.00 7.1 13-1
14 12 Robin’s Legacy 20.00 8.3 16-1
11 9 Funkenstein 15.00 9.4 18-1
3 2 Stone’s River 8.00 9.5 18-1
13 11 Chief Jackson 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Gabby Hayes 0.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hot Pursuit 12.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Just a Command 30.00 10.3 20-1
9 7 Proud Musket 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Airman 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Earls Rock (IRE) 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Endless Sunset 8.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 North Pole 3.50 2.4 5-1
10 10 Enough Nonsense 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Daniel’s Magic 30.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Exalted Joy 15.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Achilleus 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Man Friday 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Ivory Sky 30.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Canada S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Proud Emma 6.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Message 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Hard Not to Love 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sanenus (CHI) 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Fighting Mad 1.80 3.5 7-1
6 6 Miss Stormy D 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Never Be Enough (GB) 12.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Las Cienegas S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lighthouse 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Jolie Olimpica (BRZ) 1.60 2.5 5-1
5 5 Superstition 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Oleksandra (AUS) 1.80 2.9 5-1
1 1 Bohemian Bourbon 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Charmaine’s Mia 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Acting Out 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Great Power 2.50 1.8 3-1
5 5 Astrologer 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Uncaptured Hero 4.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Malakai Moxie 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Defense Wins 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Ecologist 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Bob’s Sniper 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Dapper 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Squalotoro 12.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Dynamic Duo 30.00 9.2 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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