Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, January 8, 2021

January 8, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Discretionary Day 2.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Circleofchampions 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Blue Star 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Big Talker 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Big Flint 1.80 4 8-1
5 5 Whiskey Vision 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Brochacho 20.00 6 11-1
9 9 Pedro Perez 30.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 The Henrietta 50.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Vangogo 3.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Plum Wild 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Happy Trails 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Enriched by Deb 2.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Full Eclipse 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 You Wanna Ear Rip 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Pasito 15.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hail Freedom 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 J C Express 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Big Well 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Big Frank Da Tank 6.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Gordy’s Boy 4.00 4.5 9-1
10 10 That Corey 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Bukayo 12.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Mr. Tripledouble 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 He Be Dangerous 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Careless Kitten 30.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Peachtree Road 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Moraz 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Whistler’s Style 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Lunatic 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 A Real Hero 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 I’m All the Jedi 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Sweetest Angel 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Agreetodisagree 4.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Superman Shaq 2.50 2.9 6-1
6 5 Gator Shining 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Crossword 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Mac Daddy Too 12.00 4 7-1
2 2 Minsky (IRE) 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Windy City Red 3.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Teton Valley 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Exhalting 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Billy K 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 5 Sybil’s Kitty 3.50 4.3 8-1
9 6 Wandering Patrol 2.00 4.5 8-1
3 2 Rolinga 4.00 SCRATCH
4 1 Zillinda 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 3 Sherilinda 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 2 Takes a Village 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 All Tea All Shade 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Untouched Elegance 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Fivestar Lynch (IRE) 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Salvator Mundi 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Our Silver Oak 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Border Town 4.00 3.7 7-1
9 8 Award Winner 15.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Kazan (IRE) 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Murad Khan (FR) 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 King Theo 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Lymebyrd 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Frontier Market 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Unbroken Star 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Pubilius Syrus 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Zestful 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Truth Seeker 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Synthesis 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Heartfullofstars 15.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Tobacco Road 30.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Two Thirty Five 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Worthy Turk 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Sly 4.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Move Over (GB) 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Fly to Mars 3.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Camino de Estrella 10.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Southern King 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Foray 4.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 New Year 30.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Of Good Report 8.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Dr. Troutman 12.00 8.5 16-1
11 11 Mithqaal 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Liberal (IRE) 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Justin’s Quest 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 French Getaway 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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